Jeremy Oles

Rakabudiswa On: 07/01/2025
Goverana!
Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 8 Ndira 2025
By Rakabudiswa On: 07/01/2025
Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)mamirirokukoshaEventkushurudzirapashure
13:15Extraterrestrial3 pointsADP Nonfarm Employment Shanduko (Zvita)136K146K
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pointsKuenderera mberi Nezvichemo Zvisina Basa----1,844K
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pointsFed Waller Anotaura--------
13:30Extraterrestrial3 pointsPakutanga Kusarudzwa kweJobho214K211K
15:30Extraterrestrial3 pointsMafuta Asingawaniki Inventories-----1.178M
15:30Extraterrestrial2 pointsCushing Crude Oil Inventories-----0.142M
18:00Extraterrestrial3 points30-Yegore Bond Auction----4.535%
19:00Extraterrestrial3 pointsFOMC Maminetsi eMusangano--------
20:00Extraterrestrial2 pointsChikwereti chevatengi (Nov)10.60B19.24B

Pfupiso yeZviitiko zveEconomic Zvinouya muna Ndira 8, 2025

  1. US ADP Nonfarm Employment Shanduko (13:15 UTC):
    • Forecast: 136K, Previous: 146K.
      Inopa fungidziro yekutanga yekukura kwevashandi vega-yakazvimirira, ichishanda sefanotungamira kune yepamutemo nonfarm payrolls report. Kuverenga kwepamusoro kunowanzo tsigira USD.
  2. US Kuenderera mberi Nekukumbira Kusina Basa (13:30 UTC):
    • Previous: 1,844K.
      Inoteedzera huwandu hwevanhu vachiri kuwana mabhenefiti ekurovha, zvichiratidza kugadzikana kwemusika wevashandi.
  3. US Fed Waller Inotaura (13:30 UTC):
    Mhinduro kubva kuFed Gavhuna Christopher Waller inogona kupa nzwisiso mugwara remangwana reFed, zvichikanganisa manzwiro emusika.
  4. Zvichemo zveU.S zvekutanga zvisina basa (13:30 UTC):
    • Forecast: 214K, Previous: 211K.
      Nhamba yakaderera inoratidza musika wevashandi wakasimba, kazhinji unotsigira USD.
  5. US Crude Oil Inventories (15:30 UTC):
    • Previous: -1.178M.
      Mamonitor anochinja mune zvisina kufanira stockpiles, achipesvedzera mitengo yemafuta uye simba remusika simba.
  6. US Cushing Crude Oil Inventories (15:30 UTC):
    • Previous: -0.142M.
      Inosimbisa shanduko yezvinyorwa paCushing storage hub, kiyi yekusvitsa nzvimbo yeUS crude.
  7. US 30-Year Bond Auction (18:00 UTC):
    • Previous Goho: 4.535%.
      Mibairo yeokisheni inoratidza kudiwa kwechikwereti chenguva refu cheUS, chiri kukanganisa goho uye misika ine mari yakagara.
  8. US FOMC Meeting Miniti (19:00 UTC):
    Inopa ruzivo rwakadzama munhaurirano dzemusangano weFederal Reserve muna Zvita, kusanganisira inflation, kukura, uye rate policy. Chiitiko chakakosha chevatengesi veUSD.
  9. Chikwereti cheMutengi cheUS (20:00 UTC):
    • Forecast: 10.60B, Previous: 19.24b.
      Inoyera shanduko mukukwereta kwevatengi, nenhamba dzepamusoro dzinoratidza kuvimba kwevatengi asiwo njodzi dzinogona kuitika dzechikwereti chemumba.

Market Impact Analysis

  • US ADP Nonfarm Employment Shanduko:
    • Positive Scenario: Kuverenga kwepamusoro-kupfuura-kunotarisirwa kunowedzera USD uye kunotsigira manzwiro enjodzi.
    • Negative Scenario: Nhamba yakaderera pane-inotarisirwa inomanikidza USD uye inomutsa kushushikana pamusoro pemamiriro emusika wevashandi.
  • Zvikumbiro Zvisina Basa zveUS:
    • Positive Scenario: Zvichemo zvakaderera zvinotsigira nhoroondo yakasimba yemusika wevashandi, inobatsira USD.
    • Negative Scenario: Zvikumbiro zvepamusoro zvinogona kuratidza kushaya simba, kurema paUSD.
  • Crude Oil Inventories:
    • Positive Scenario: Drawdowns inotsigira mitengo yemafuta, inobatsira mari-yakabatana nemari.
    • Negative Scenario: Inventory inovaka mitengo yemafuta inodzika pasi.
  • FOMC Meeting Maminitsi:
    • Positive Scenario: Hawkish masiginecha (semuenzaniso, yakasimba mari mutemo) inotsigira USD.
    • Negative Scenario: Dovish tsananguro (semuenzaniso, kunetseka pamusoro pekukura) inorema paUSD.

Overall Impact

Volatility: Yakakwira, ine data yemusika wevashandi uye FOMC maminetsi anogona kutyaira mafambiro emusika.

Impact Score: 8/10, nekuda kwekukosha kwedata rebasa uye mukana wekuzarurirwa kwemitemo kubva kumaminitsi eFed.