Jeremy Oles

Rakabudiswa On: 05/01/2025
Goverana!
Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 6 Ndira 2025
By Rakabudiswa On: 05/01/2025
Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)mamirirokukoshaEventkushurudzirapashure
00:30🇯🇵2 pointskana Jibun Bank Services PMI (Zvita)51.450.5
01:45🇨🇳2 pointsCaixin Services PMI (Zvita)51.451.5
09:00🇪🇺2 pointsHCOB Eurozone Composite PMI (Zvita)49.548.3
09:00🇪🇺2 pointsHCOB Eurozone Services PMI (Zvita)51.449.5
14:45Extraterrestrial2 pointsS&P Global Composite PMI (Zvita)56.654.9
14:45Extraterrestrial3 pointsS&P Global Services PMI (Zvita)58.556.1
15:00Extraterrestrial2 pointsFactory Orders (MoM) (Nov)-0.3%0.2%
18:00Extraterrestrial2 points3-Yegore Note Auction----4.117%
20:30Extraterrestrial2 pointsCFTC Crude Oil inofungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo----247.0K
20:30Extraterrestrial2 pointsCFTC Goridhe yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo----247.6K
20:30Extraterrestrial2 pointsCFTC Nasdaq 100 yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo----27.2K
20:30Extraterrestrial2 pointsCFTC S&P 500 yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo-----63.8K
20:30🇦🇺2 pointsCFTC AUD yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo-----68.2K
20:30🇯🇵2 pointsCFTC JPY yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo----2.3K
20:30🇪🇺2 pointsCFTC EUR yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo-----68.5K

Pfupiso yeZviitiko zveEconomic Zvinouya muna Ndira 6, 2025

  1. Japan kana Jibun Bank Services PMI (00:30 UTC):
    • Forecast: 51.4, Previous: 50.5.
      PMI pamusoro pe50 inoratidza kuwedzera muchikamu chebasa, zvichiratidza kusimba kwehupfumi uye zvinogona kutsigira JPY.
  2. China Caixin Services PMI (01:45 UTC):
    • Forecast: 51.4, Previous: 51.5.
      Chiratidzo chebasa reChina. Yakagadzikana kana kuvandudza data inotsigira manzwiro epasirese njodzi uye mari-yakabatana nemari senge AUD.
  3. Eurozone HCOB PMIs (09:00 UTC):
    • Composite PMI: Forecast: 49.5, Previous: 48.3.
    • Services PMI: Forecast: 51.4, Previous: 49.5.
      Kuverengera kwakavandudzwa pamusoro pe50 chiratidzo chekudzoreredza muEurozone chiitiko chehupfumi, zvinogona kuwedzera iyo EUR.
  4. US S&P Global PMIs (14:45 UTC):
    • Composite PMI: Forecast: 56.6, Previous: 54.9.
    • Services PMI: Forecast: 58.5, Previous: 56.1.
      Yepamusoro PMIs inoratidza chiitiko chakasimba muhupfumi hweUS, kutsigira iyo USD nekuvandudza musika manzwiro.
  5. US Factory Orders (15:00 UTC):
    • Forecast: -0.3% Previous: 0.2%.
      Inoteedzera kudiwa kwekugadzira. Kudzikira kwaizoratidza kushaya simba kwekuita, kungangoita huremu paUSD.
  6. US 3-Year Note Auction (18:00 UTC):
    • Previous: 4.117%.
      Kuwanda kwegoho kunopa manzwisisiro mumanzwiro evasima mari maererano nechikwereti chenguva pfupi cheUS uye zvinotarisirwa nemari.
  7. CFTC Speculative Net Positions (20:30 UTC):
    • Inoteedzera kufarira kwekufungidzira mune zvigadzirwa, equities, uye mari, inopesvedzera manzwiro mumisika yakatevedzana.

Market Impact Analysis

  • Japan neChina Services PMIs:
    • Positive Scenario: Yepamusoro-kupfuura-inotarisirwa PMIs inoratidza yakasimba hupfumi chiitiko, inotsigira JPY neAUD uku ichivandudza njodzi yepasirese kudya.
    • Negative Scenario: Data isina simba inogona kumanikidza mari idzi uye kudzikisira manzwiro enjodzi.
  • Eurozone PMIs:
    • Positive Scenario: Kuverenga pamusoro pe50 kunosimbisa EUR nekuratidza kugadzirisa kwehupfumi munharaunda.
    • Negative Scenario: Kuenderera mberi kwechibvumirano kwaizorema paEUR uye chiratidzo chinoramba chiripo.
  • US PMIs uye Factory Orders:
    • Positive Scenario: Yakasimba PMI uye fekitori dhata data inotsigira iyo USD nekusimbisa kusimba muUS hupfumi chiitiko.
    • Negative Scenario: Dhata isina simba yaizodzikisa simba reUSD uye chiratidzo chinononoka kukura.
  • CFTC Kufungidzira Nzvimbo:
    • Ipa manzwiro ezviratidzo zvemafuta asina kuchena, goridhe, equities, uye mari, zvichikurudzira kufamba kwemusika kwenguva pfupi.

Overall Impact

Volatility: Pakati nepakati, inotungamirwa nePMI data kubva kuhupfumi hukuru uye US fekitori maodha.

Impact Score: 6/10, sepasi rose PMIs uye US data chimiro mari uye zvigadzirwa maitiro.