Jeremy Oles

Rakabudiswa On: 05/12/2024
Goverana!
Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 6 Zvita 2024
By Rakabudiswa On: 05/12/2024
Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)mamirirokukoshachiitikokushurudzirapashure
00:30🇦🇺2 pfungwaZvikwereti zvepamba (MoM) (Oct)---0.1%
10:00🇪🇺2 pfungwaGDP (YoY) (Q3)0.9%0.6%
10:00🇪🇺2 pfungwaGDP (QQ) (Q3)0.4%0.4%
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaAvhareji Yomuhoro Weawa (YoY) (YoY) (Nov)---4.0%
13:30Extraterrestrial3 pfungwaAvhareji Yemihoro Yeawa (MoM) (Nov)0.3%0.4%
13:30Extraterrestrial3 pfungwaNonfarm Payrolls (Nov)202K12K
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaChiyero chekutora chikamu (Nov)---62.6%
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaPrivate Nonfarm Payrolls (Nov)
160K-28K
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaU6 Urovha Mwero (Nov)---7.7%
13:30Extraterrestrial3 pfungwaMwero Wokushaya Basa (Nov)4.2%4.1%
14:15Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaNhengo yeFOMC Bowman Inotaura------
15:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaMichigan 1-Gore reInflation Zvinotarisirwa (Zvita)  ---2.6%
15:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaMichigan 5-Gore reInflation Zvinotarisirwa (Zvita)---3.2%
15:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaMichigan Consumer Tarisiro (Zvita)---76.9
15:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaMichigan Consumer Sentiment (Zvita)73.171.8
18:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaUS Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count478477
18:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaNhengo yeFOMC Daly Inotaura------
18:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaUS Baker Hughes Total Rig Count---582
20:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaChikwereti chevatengi (Gumiguru)10.10B6.00B
20:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaCFTC Crude Oil inofungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo---200.4K
20:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaCFTC Goridhe yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo---250.3K
20:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaCFTC Nasdaq 100 yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo---19.5K
20:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaCFTC S&P 500 yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo----78.9K
20:30🇦🇺2 pfungwaCFTC AUD yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo---31.8K
20:30🇯🇵2 pfungwaCFTC JPY yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo----22.6K
20:30🇪🇺2 pfungwaCFTC EUR yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo----56.0K

Pfupiso yeZviitiko Zvinouya zvehupfumi musi waZvita 6, 2024

  1. Australia Home Loans (MoM) (Oct) (00:30 UTC):
    • Previous: 0.1%.
      Inoratidza shanduko muhuwandu hwezvikwereti zvitsva zvemba zvakapihwa. Kukura kunoratidza simba mumusika wedzimba uye kuvimba kwevatengi, kutsigira iyo AUD. Data isina simba yaizorema pamari.
  2. Eurozone GDP (Q3) (10:00 UTC):
    • YOY: Forecast: 0.9%, Yakapfuura: 0.6%.
    • QoQ: Forecast: 0.4%, Yakapfuura: 0.4%.
      Kukura kwakasimba kweGDP kwaizoratidza kusimba kwehupfumi, kutsigira EUR. Kukura kwakaderera-kupfuura-kunotarisirwa kunogona kuyera pamari.
  3. US Labor Market Data (Nov) (13:30 UTC):
    • Nonfarm Payrolls: Forecast: 202K, Yakapfuura: 12K.
    • Private Nonfarm Payrolls: Forecast: 160K, Pamberi: -28K.
    • Mwero Wokushaya Basa: Forecast: 4.2%, Yakapfuura: 4.1%.
    • Avhareji Yemihoro Yeawa (MoM): Forecast: 0.3%, Yakapfuura: 0.4%.
    • Avhareji Yemihoro Yeawa (YoY): Zvakapfuura: 4.0%.
      Simba remusika wevashandi raizosimbisa tarisiro yekusimba kwehupfumi, kutsigira USD. Data isina simba-kupfuura-inotarisirwa inogona kuratidza kuderera kwehupfumi, zvichigona kupfavisa mari.
  4. US Michigan Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Zvinotarisirwa (15:00 UTC):
    • 1-Gore Rinotarisirwa Kuwedzera Kwemari: Zvakapfuura: 2.6%.
    • 5-Gore Rinotarisirwa Kuwedzera Kwemari: Zvakapfuura: 3.2%.
    • Consumer Sentiment: Forecast: 73.1, Zvakapfuura: 71.8.
      Maonero akavandudzwa uye tarisiro yakagadzikana yekukwira kwemitengo yaizotsigira USD nekuratidzira kusatya kwevatengi uye kugadzikana kwemitengo.
  5. US Baker Hughes Rig Count (18:00 UTC):
    • Oil Rig Count: Zvakapfuura: 478.
    • Total Rig Count: Zvakapfuura: 582.
      Kukwira kuri kukwira kunoratidza kuwedzera kwemafuta, kungangoita kudzvanya mitengo yemafuta, ukuwo kuderera kunoratidza kusimbaradza, kutsigira mitengo.
  6. US Consumer Credit (Gumiguru) (20:00 UTC):
    • Forecast: 10.10B, Previous: 6.00b.
      Kukura kwechikwereti chepamusoro kunoratidza kuwedzera kukwereta, kuratidza kuvimba kwevatengi, izvo zvaizotsigira USD. Kuderera kwekukura kwechikwereti kunogona kuratidza kungwarira pakati pevatengi.
  7. CFTC Speculative Net Positions (20:30 UTC):
    • Inoteedzera fungidziro mukati mafuta asina kuchena, goridhe, equities, uye mari hombe. Shanduko muzvinzvimbo zvinopa ruzivo mune zvinotarisirwa pamusika uye zvinogona kuitika mutengo mafambiro.

Market Impact Analysis

  • Australia Home Zvikwereti:
    Kukura kwakasimba kwechikwereti chemba kwaizoratidza kusimba mumusika wedzimba weAustralia, uchitsigira AUD. Data isina kusimba inogona kuyera pamari.
  • Eurozone GDP:
    Kukura kwakasimba kweGDP kwaizotsigira EUR nekuratidza kugadzikana kwehupfumi. Kukura kwakaderera-kupfuura-kunotarisirwa kunogona kukanganisa EUR, zvichiratidza matambudziko muhupfumi hweEurozone.
  • US Labor Market Data:
    Huwandu hwekubhadhara kwakasimba uye kukura kwakasimba kwemubairo kwaizosimbisa simba reUSD nekusaina akasimba emusika wevashandi mamiriro. Data risina simba revashandi rinoratidza kutonhora kwehupfumi, zvingangopfavisa mari.
  • Michigan Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Zvinotarisirwa:
    Maonero akavandudzwa uye tarisiro yakagadzikana yekukwira kwemitengo zvaizoratidza kusimba kwehupfumi, kutsigira USD. Mafungiro asina kusimba kana kukwira kwetarisiro yekukwira kwemitengo kunogona kuremedza mari.
  • US Baker Hughes Rig Count & Consumer Credit:
    Kukwira kwemari kuverengera kungamanikidza mitengo yemafuta, zvichipesvedzera mari yakabatana nezvinhu seCAD. Kukura kwechikwereti chemutengi kwepamusoro kungaratidza kuvimba kwevatengi, kutsigira USD.

Overall Impact

Volatility:
Yakakwira, inotungamirwa neUS data yemusika wevashandi, Eurozone GDP, uye Michigan mutengi manzwiro. OPEC inogadziridza uye Baker Hughes rig kuverenga kuchapesvedzera mitengo yemafuta uye mari-yakabatana nemari.

Impact Score: 8/10, ine yakanyanya kutariswa pane nonfarm payrolls, mubairo kukura, uye mutengi manzwiro ekuumba tarisiro yeUSD uye musika wepasi rose manzwiro.