Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 5 Mbudzi 2024

Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)	mamiriro	kukosha	chiitiko	kushurudzira	pashure
01:45		2 pfungwa	Caixin Services PMI (Gumiguru)	50.5	50.3
03:30		3 pfungwa	RBA Mubereko weChisarudzo (Nov)	4.35%	4.35%
03:30		2 pfungwa	RBA Monetary Policy Statement	---	---
03:30		2 pfungwa	RBA Rate Chirevo	---	---
10:00		3 pfungwa	Sarudzo dzeMutungamiri weUS	---	---
10:00		2 pfungwa	Eurogroup Misangano	---	---
13:30		2 pfungwa	Zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika (Sep)	---	271.80B
13:30		2 pfungwa	Zvinotengwa kunze kwenyika (Sep)	---	342.20B
13:30		2 pfungwa	Trade Balance (Sep)	-83.30B	-70.40B
14:30		2 pfungwa	Mutungamiri weECB Lagarde Vanotaura	---	---
14:45		2 pfungwa	S&P Global Composite PMI (Gumiguru)	54.3	54.0
14:45		3 pfungwa	S&P Global Services PMI (Gumiguru)	55.3	55.2
15:00		2 pfungwa	ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment (Gumiguru)	---	48.1
15:00		3 pfungwa	ISM Isiri Kugadzira PMI (Gumiguru)	53.7	54.9
15:00		3 pfungwa	Mitengo Isiri Yekugadzira ISM (Gumiguru)	---	59.4
18:00		3 pfungwa	10-Yegore Note Auction	---	4.066%
18:00		2 pfungwa	Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4)	2.3%	2.3%
18:30		2 pfungwa	ECB's Schnabel Inotaura	---	---
20:00		2 pfungwa	RBNZ Financial Stability Report	---	---
21:30		2 pfungwa	API Weekly Crude Oil Stock	-0.900M	-0.573M
23:50		2 pfungwa	Monetary Policy Meeting Miniti	---	---

Pfupiso yeZviitiko Zvehupfumi Zvinouya muna Mbudzi 5, 2024

1. China Caixin Services PMI (Oct) (01:45 UTC):
   Chiyero chakakosha cheChina chebasa rebasa rekuita. Forecast: 50.5, Pamberi: 50.3. Kuverenga pamusoro pe50 kunoratidza kuwedzera, kuratidza kukura muchikamu chebasa.
2. RBA Chisarudzo Chemubereko (Nov) (03:30 UTC):
   Sarudzo yeReserve Bank yeAustralia yemubereko. Forecast: 4.35%, Previous: 4.35%. Chero kutsauka kubva pakufanotaura kungakanganisa iyo AUD.
3. RBA Monetary Policy Statement & Rate Statement (03:30 UTC):
   Inofambirana nesarudzo yeRBA uye inopa ruzivo mumaonero ehupfumi hwebhanga guru uye gwara remitemo.
4. Sarudzo dzeMutungamiri weUS (10:00 UTC):
   Vavhoti voenda kunovhota kuti vasarudze mutungamiri weAmerica. Mhedzisiro yesarudzo inowanzo konzera kusagadzikana kwemusika, nemhedzisiro paUSD, equities, uye misika yepasi rose.
5. Misangano yeEurogroup (10:00 UTC):
   Misangano yemakurukota ezvemari yeEurozone yekuzeya gwara rezvehupfumi. Chero zviziviso zvikuru zvinogona kukanganisa EUR.
6. US Trade Balance (Sep) (13:30 UTC):
   Inoyera musiyano pakati pezvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika uye kunze kwenyika. Forecast: -$83.30B, Pamberi: --$70.40B. Kuremerwa kukuru kungaratidza kutengwa kwepamusoro kune kutengeswa kunze kwenyika, kungangoita huremu hweUSD.
7. Mutungamiri weECB Lagarde Vanotaura (14:30 UTC):
   Mutungamiri weECB Christine Lagarde anogona kupa maonero ezvehupfumi hweECB uye chimiro pamusoro pekukwira kwemitengo, zvingangokanganisa EUR.
8. US S&P Global Composite uye Services PMI (Oct) (14:45 UTC):
   Matanho ezvese bhizinesi uye sevhisi chikamu chiitiko. Forecast Composite: 54.3, Services: 55.3. Kuverenga pamusoro pe50 kunoratidza kuwedzera, iyo inotsigira USD.
9. US ISM Isiri Kugadzira PMI (Oct) (15:00 UTC):
   Kiyi geji yeUS masevhisi chikamu. Forecast: 53.7, Yakapfuura: 54.9. Kudzikira kungaratidza kunonoka kwesevhisi kukura, kungangoita huremu paUSD.
10. US 10-Year Note Auction (18:00 UTC):
    Auction ye10-year Treasury manotsi. Pamberi pegoho: 4.066%. Goho repamusoro rinoratidza kuwedzera kwemitengo yekukwereta kana tarisiro yekukwira kwemitengo, zvichitsigira USD.
11. RBNZ Financial Stability Report (20:00 UTC):
    Gwaro reReserve Bank of New Zealand pamusoro pekugadzikana kwemari, izvo zvinogona kukanganisa NZD nekuratidzira njodzi dzehupfumi kana maonero emari yebhanga.
12. API Weekly Crude Oil Stock (21:30 UTC):
    Inoyera shanduko yevhiki nevhiki muUS crude oil inventory. Forecast: -0.900M, Previous: -0.573M. Kuderera kukuru-kupfuura-kwaitarisirwa kungaratidza kudiwa kwakasimba, kutsigira mitengo yemafuta.
13. Maminitsi emusangano weMonetary Policy (23:50 UTC):
    Zvichida kubva kuBhange reJapan kana rimwe bhangi guru, richitsanangura nhaurirano dzemazuva ano dzemitemo uye maonero ehupfumi, zvingangokanganisa JPY.

Market Impact Analysis

• China Caixin Services PMI:
  Kuverenga pamusoro pemakumi mashanu kungaratidza kuwedzera muChina sevhisi sevhisi, kutsigira manzwiro enjodzi uye zvingangoita zvigadzirwa. Kudzikira kwaizoratidza kukura kunononoka, pamwe zvichikanganisa midziyo ine njodzi.
• RBA Mubereko Reti Sarudzo uye Zvirevo:
  Chero kutsauka kubva pachiyero chinotarisirwa kunogona kukanganisa zvakanyanya AUD. Inzwi re hawkish mune zvirevo raizotsigira iyo AUD, nepo dovish tsinhiro inogona kuinetesa.
• Sarudzo dzeMutungamiri weUS:
  Mhedzisiro dzesarudzo dzinowanzo tungamira mukusagadzikana kwemusika, nemhedzisiro paUSD, US equities, uye musika wepasi rose manzwiro, sezvo vanoisa mari vachigadzirisa zvinzvimbo zvichibva pane zvinotarisirwa gwara remitemo.
• US Trade Balance:
  Kuwedzera kushomeka kungaratidza kutengwa kwepamusoro kune kunze kwenyika, izvo zvinogona kurema paUSD. Kushomeka kwakaderera kwaizotsigira dhora.
• Mutungamiri weECB Lagarde Hurukuro:
  Tsanangudzo yeHawkish pamusoro pekukwira kwemitengo yaizotsigira EUR, ukuwo matauriro ehudovi anogona kuinetesa.
• US ISM Isiri Kugadzira PMI uye 10-Yegore Cherechedzo Auction:
  PMI yakasimba yaizoratidza kusimba kwechikamu chebasa, kutsigira USD. Goho repamusoro muokisheni raizotsigirawo USD nekuratidza tarisiro yekukwira kwemitengo.
• RBNZ Financial Stability Report:
  Chero zviratidzo zvekusagadzikana kwehupfumi kana njodzi yemari zvinogona kuremedza NZD, nepo maonero akagadzikana angaitsigira.

Overall Impact

Volatility:
Yakakwira, ine yakakosha kutarisisa padanho reRBA, sarudzo dzemutungamiri weUS, uye ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI. Kuita kwemusika kuECB neRBNZ tsinhiro kuchapesvedzerawo mari nemabhondi misika.

Impact Score: 8/10, inotungamirwa nezviitiko zvakakosha, zvinosanganisira sarudzo dzeUS, sarudzo dzebhanga guru, uye zvakakosha zviratidzo zvehupfumi muhupfumi hukuru hunozoumba manzwiro ekugadzikana kwehupfumi hwenyika uye gwara remitemo.