Jeremy Oles

Rakabudiswa On: 04/12/2024
Goverana!
Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 5 Zvita 2024
By Rakabudiswa On: 04/12/2024
Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)mamirirokukoshachiitikokushurudzirapashure
00:30🇦🇺2 pfungwaTrade Balance (Gumiguru)4.580B4.609B
01:30🇯🇵2 pfungwaBoJ Board Member Nakamura Anotaura------
10:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaMusangano weOPEC------
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaKuenderera mberi Nezvichemo Zvisina Basa---1,907K
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaZvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika (Oct)---267.90B
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaZvinotengwa kunze kwenyika (Oct)---352.30B
13:30Extraterrestrial3 pfungwaPakutanga Kusarudzwa kweJobho215K213K
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaTrade Balance (Gumiguru)-75.70B-84.40B
21:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaFed's Balance Sheet---6,905B
23:30🇯🇵2 pfungwaKushandiswa Kwemhuri (MoM) (Oct)0.4%-1.3%
23:30🇯🇵2 pfungwaKushandiswa Kwemhuri (YoY) (Oct)-2.6%-1.1%

Pfupiso yeZviitiko Zvinouya zvehupfumi musi waZvita 5, 2024

  1. Australia Trade Balance (Gumiguru) (00:30 UTC):
    • Forecast: 4.580B, Previous: 4.609b.
      Inoratidza musiyano pakati pezvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika uye kunze kwenyika. Kuwedzera kwekutengesa kwepamusoro kwaizoratidza kudiwa kwakasimba kwekunze, kutsigira AUD. Mari yakaderera yaigona kuyera mari.
  2. Japan BoJ Board Member Nakamura Anotaura (01:30 UTC):
    Maonero anogona kupa nzwisiso mumaonero ehupfumi hweBoJ kana chimiro chemari. Matauriro eHawkish aizotsigira iyo JPY, nepo toni dzedovish dzinogona kuinetesa.
  3. Musangano weOPEC (10:00 UTC):
    Musangano uyu uchakurukura mazinga ekugadzirwa kwemafuta uye mafambiro epasi rose. Sarudzo dzekucheka kana kuchengetedza zvinobuda zvinotsigira mitengo yemafuta, ukuwo kuwedzera kwekugadzirwa kungamanikidza mitengo. Izvi zvinokanganisa mari inoenderana nemafuta seCAD uye misika yezvinhu.
  4. US Trade Data (Oct) (13:30 UTC):
    • Zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika (Oct): Zvakapfuura: 267.90B.
    • Zvinobva kunze (Gumiguru): Zvakapfuura: 352.30B.
    • Trade Balance (Gumiguru): Forecast: -75.70B, Previous: -84.40B.
      Kuderera kwekushomeka kungaratidza kuvandudza kutengeserana dynamics, kutsigira USD. Kuwedzera kushomeka kunogona kuremedza mari yacho.
  5. Zvichemo zveUS zvisina Basa (13:30 UTC):
    • Zvichemo Zvekutanga Zvisina Basa: Forecast: 215K, Yakapfuura: 213K.
    • Kuenderera mberi Nezvichemo Zvisina Basa: Zvakapfuura: 1,907K.
      Zvichemo zvepamusoro zvaizoratidza kupfava kwemusika wevashandi, zvinogona kunetesa USD. Zvichemo zvakaderera zvingaratidza kusimba, kutsigira mari.
  6. Fed's Balance Sheet (21:30 UTC):
    Shanduko dziri muFederal Reserve's balance sheet dzinogona kupa nzwisiso mugwaro remari uye mamiriro emari, zvichipesvedzera manzwiro eUSD.
  7. Kushandiswa Kwemari kuJapan (Oct) (23:30 UTC):
    • Amai: Forecast: 0.4%, Yakapfuura: -1.3%.
    • YOY: Forecast: -2.6%, Yakapfuura: -1.1%.
      Kudzokororwa kwekushandisa kungaratidza kuvandudza kuvimba kwevatengi, kutsigira JPY. Kuramba kusimba kwaizorema pamari.

Market Impact Analysis

  • Australia Trade Balance:
    Kuwedzera kwepamusoro kwaizotsigira iyo AUD nekuratidza kudiwa kwakasimba kwekutengesa kunze kweAustralia. Yakaderera yakasara inogona kuratidza matambudziko ekunze, zvichiremera mari.
  • Kushandisa Kwemhuri yeJapan & Kutaura kwaNakamura:
    Kuvandudzwa kwekushandisa data kwaizoratidza kwakasimba kudiwa kwemba, kutsigira JPY. Mashoko eHawkish kubva kuNakamura aizowedzerawo mari, nepo toni dzedovish kana data isina simba inogona kuipfavisa.
  • Musangano weOPEC:
    Sarudzo dzekucheka kugadzirwa kana kuchengetedza mazinga azvino zvinotsigira mitengo yemafuta, zvichibatsira mari-yakabatana nemari seCAD. Kuwedzera kwekugadzirwa kwaizomanikidza mitengo uye kuyera pamari idzi.
  • US Trade Balance & Zvikumbiro Zvisina Basa:
    Kuderera kwekutengesa kushomeka kwaizotsigira USD, zvichiratidza simba rekutengeserana rakasimba. Zvichemo zvakaderera zvekushaya basa zvaizoratidza kusimba kwemusika wevashandi, zvichisimbisa kusimba kweUSD. Zvikumbiro zvakakwirira kana kuti kushomeka kuri kuwedzera kunogona kuremedza mari yacho.
  • Fed's Balance Sheet:
    Kuwedzera kana kudhonzwa kwebalance sheet kunogona kuratidza shanduko mumamiriro emari kana mutemo wemari, zvichipesvedzera manzwiro eUSD.

Overall Impact

Volatility:
Zvine mwero kusvika pakakwirira, zvichifambiswa nedata rekutengesa kubva kuAustralia neUS, sarudzo dzeOPEC dzine chekuita nemisika yemafuta, uye zvichemo zveUS zvisina basa.

Impact Score: 7/10, ine akakosha pesvedzero kubva kumakero ekutengeserana, data remusika wevashandi, uye kusimukira kwemusika wesimba kuumba manzwiro eAUD, JPY, USD, uye mari-yakabatana-mari.