Jeremy Oles

Rakabudiswa On: 03/09/2024
Goverana!
By Rakabudiswa On: 03/09/2024
Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)mamirirokukoshachiitikokushurudzirapashure
00:30🇯🇵2 pfungwakana Jibun Bank Japan Services PMI (Aug)54.053.7
01:30🇦🇺2 pfungwaGDP (QQ) (Q2)0.2%0.1%
01:30🇦🇺2 pfungwaGDP (YoY) (Q2)1.0%1.1%
01:45🇨🇳2 pfungwaCaixin Services PMI (Aug)51.952.1
07:00🇪🇺2 pfungwaECB's Elderson Anotaura------
08:00🇪🇺2 pfungwaHCOB Eurozone Composite PMI (Aug)51.250.2
08:00🇪🇺2 pfungwaHCOB Eurozone Services PMI (Aug)53.351.9
12:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaZvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika (Chikunguru)---265.90B
12:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaZvinotengwa kunze kwenyika (Chikunguru)---339.00B
12:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaTrade Balance (Chikunguru)-78.80B-73.10B
14:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaFactory Orders (MoM) (Chikunguru)4.6%-3.3%
14:00Extraterrestrial3 pfungwaJOLTs Basa Kuvhurwa (Chikunguru)8.090M8.184M
18:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaBeige Book------
20:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaAPI Weekly Crude Oil Stock----3.400M

Pfupiso yeZviitiko Zvehupfumi Zvinouya musi waGunyana 4, 2024

  1. Japan kana Jibun Bank Japan Services PMI (Aug) (00:30 UTC): Inoyera chiitiko muchikamu chebasa reJapan. Forecast: 54.0, Yakapfuura: 53.7.
  2. GDP yeAustralia (QQ) (Q2) (01:30 UTC): Quarterly shanduko muAustralia gross domestic product. Forecast: +0.2%, Yakapfuura: +0.1%.
  3. GDP yeAustralia (YoY) (Q2) (01:30 UTC): Shanduko yegore negore muGDP yeAustralia. Forecast: +1.0%, Yakapfuura: +1.1%.
  4. China Caixin Services PMI (Aug) (01:45 UTC): Inoyera chiitiko muChina sevhisi chikamu. Forecast: 51.9, Yakapfuura: 52.1.
  5. ECB's Elderson Anotaura (07:00 UTC): Mashoko kubva kunhengo yeECB Executive Board VaFrank Elderson, vachikwanisa kupa nzwisiso muhurongwa hweECB uye nemaonero ehupfumi.
  6. Eurozone HCOB Eurozone Composite PMI (Aug) (08:00 UTC): Inoyera yakazara bhizinesi chiitiko muEurozone. Forecast: 51.2, Yakapfuura: 50.2.
  7. Eurozone HCOB Eurozone Services PMI (Aug) (08:00 UTC): Inoyera chiitiko muEurozone's service sector. Forecast: 53.3, Yakapfuura: 51.9.
  8. US Exports (Chikunguru) (12:30 UTC): Hukoshi hwese hwezvinhu uye masevhisi anotengeswa kunze kwenyika neUS. Zvakapfuura: $265.90B.
  9. Zvinotengwa neUS (Chikunguru) (12:30 UTC): Hukoshi hwese hwezvinhu nesevhisi zvakaunzwa kunze neUS. Zvakapfuura: $339.00B.
  10. US Trade Balance (Chikunguru) (12:30 UTC): Musiyano pakati pezvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika nekunze. Forecast: -$78.80B, Pamberi: -$73.10B.
  11. US Factory Orders (MoM) (Chikunguru) (14:00 UTC): Shanduko yemwedzi nemwedzi muhuwandu hwemutengo weodha nyowani dzekutenga dzakaiswa nevagadziri. Forecast: + 4.6%, Yakapfuura: -3.3%.
  12. US JOLTs Basa Kuvhurwa (Jul) (14:00 UTC): Inoyera huwandu hwekuvhurwa kwemabasa muUS. Forecast: 8.090M, Pamberi: 8.184M.
  13. Bhuku reUS Beige (18:00 UTC): Chirevo kubva kuFederal Reserve ichipa pfupiso yemamiriro ehupfumi mumatunhu ayo.
  14. API Weekly Crude Oil Stock (20:30 UTC): Shanduko yevhiki nevhiki muUS crude oil inventory. Zvadaro: -3.400M.

Market Impact Analysis

  • Japan Services PMI: Kuverenga pamusoro pe50 kunoratidza kuwedzera, kuratidza simba muchikamu chebasa uye kutsigira JPY.
  • GDP yeAustralia: Chiyero chakanaka chekukura kweGDP chinotsigira AUD, zvichiratidza kusimba kwehupfumi. Kukura kwakaderera-pane-kunotarisirwa kunogona kuratidza matambudziko ehupfumi.
  • China Caixin Services PMI: Kuverenga pamusoro pemakumi mashanu kunoratidza kuwedzera muchikamu chebasa, kutsigira CNY. Kuverengera kwakaderera kunogona kusimudza kushushikana pamusoro pekukura kwechikamu.
  • Eurozone Composite uye Services PMIs: Yepamusoro PMIs inokurudzira kuwedzera basa rehupfumi, kutsigira EUR. Kuverenga kwakaderera kunogona kuratidza kuderera kwehupfumi.
  • US Trade Balance: Kuremerwa kukuru kunoratidza zvinhu kunze kwenyika kupfuura zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika, izvo zvinogona kurema paUSD. Mari shoma inotsigira USD.
  • US Factory Orders: Kuwedzera kwemaodha efekitori kunoratidza kudiwa kwakasimba kwezvinhu zvakagadzirwa, kutsigira USD uye kuratidza kukura kwehupfumi.
  • US JOLTs Basa Kuvhurwa: Huwandu hwepamusoro hwekuvhurwa kwemabasa hunoratidza musika wakasimba wevashandi, unotsigira USD. Kudzikira kungaratidza kudzikira kudiwa kwevashandi.
  • US Beige Book: Inopa manzwisisiro emamiriro ehupfumi, ayo anogona kukanganisa zvinotarisirwa nemusika kune ramangwana reFed policy.
  • API Crude Oil Stocks: Matura epasi anowanzo tsigira mitengo yakakwira yemafuta, zvichiratidza kudiwa kwakasimba kana kuderedzwa kwekupa.

Overall Impact

  • Volatility: Zvine mwero kusvika pakakwirira, zvine maitiro angangodaro muequity, bond, mari, uye misika yezvigadzirwa zvichibva pane zvehupfumi zviitiko, manhamba ekutengeserana, uye Fed ruzivo.
  • Impact Score: 7/10, zvichiratidza mukana wepamusoro wekufamba kwemusika.