Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 4 Mbudzi 2024

Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)	mamiriro	kukosha	chiitiko	kushurudzira	pashure
09:00		2 pfungwa	HCOB Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Oct)	45.9	45.0
10:00		2 pfungwa	Eurogroup Misangano	---	---
13:30		2 pfungwa	ECB's Elderson Anotaura	---	---
15:00		2 pfungwa	Factory Orders (MoM) (Sep)	-0.4%	-0.2%
15:15		2 pfungwa	ECB McCaul Inotaura	---	---
18:00		2 pfungwa	3-Yegore Note Auction	---	-3.878%
20:00		2 pfungwa	RBNZ Financial Stability Report	---	---
22:00		2 pfungwa	RBNZ Gov Orr Anotaura	---	---

Pfupiso yeZviitiko Zvehupfumi Zvinouya muna Mbudzi 4, 2024

1. HCOB Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Oct) (09:00 UTC):
   Inoyera chiitiko chekugadzira muEurozone. Forecast: 45.9, Yakapfuura: 45.0. Kuverenga pazasi makumi mashanu kunoratidza kuderera, zvichiratidza kunonoka kwekuita kwemaindasitiri mudunhu.
2. Misangano yeEurogroup (10:00 UTC):
   Musangano wemakurukota ezvemari eEurozone wekuzeya mitemo yezvehupfumi nezviri kuitika. Misoro yakakosha kana zvirevo zvinogona kukanganisa EUR, kunyanya kana nhaurirano dzakatenderedza mutemo wezvemari kana kukura kwehupfumi.
3. ECB's Elderson Anotaura (13:30 UTC):
   Nhengo yeECB Executive Board Member Frank Elderson vanogona kukurukura nezvemaonero ehupfumi hweEurozone nekukwira kwemitengo, zvichipa maonero angangove mugwaro remari reECB.
4. US Factory Orders (MoM) (Sep) (15:00 UTC):
   Inoyera shanduko yemwedzi nemwedzi mumaodha akaiswa nevagadziri. Forecast: -0.4%, Yakapfuura: -0.2%. Kudzikira kwaizoratidza kushomeka kushoma kwezvinhu zvakagadzirwa, zvingangorema paUSD.
5. ECB McCaul Inotaura (15:15 UTC):
   Mashoko kubva kuECB Supervisory Board Member Edouard Fernandez-Bollo McCaul anogona kupa ruzivo mukugadzikana kwemari uye mutemo muEurozone.
6. US 3-Year Note Auction (18:00 UTC):
   Iyo US Treasury inotengesa 3-makore ehurumende manotsi. Pamberi pegoho: -3.878%. Goho repamusoro rinogona kuratidza tarisiro yakawedzera inflation kana kudiwa kwemusika kune kudzoka kwepamusoro, zvichigona kutsigira USD.
7. RBNZ Financial Stability Report (20:00 UTC):
   Gwaro reReserve Bank reNew Zealand pamusoro pekugadzikana kwehurongwa hwemari, izvo zvinogona kuratidza njodzi uye kumisa toni yemitemo yemari, zvichikanganisa NZD.
8. RBNZ Gov Orr Anotaura (22:00 UTC):
   Gavhuna Adrian Orr anogona kukurukura nezvemamiriro ehupfumi uye kugadzikana kwemari muNew Zealand, zvichigona kupa ruzivo mune ramangwana reRBNZ gwara remitemo.

Market Impact Analysis

• Eurozone Manufacturing PMI:
  Kuverenga kwakaderera-kupfuura-kunotarisirwa kungaratidza kuderera, kungangoita kurema paEUR nekuratidza kushaya simba kwehupfumi. Yakakwirira-kupfuura-inotarisirwa data inogona kuratidza kusimba, kutsigira EUR.
• US Factory Orders:
  Kuderera kwemirairo yefekitori kunoratidza kushomeka kwekugadzira, izvo zvinogona kurema paUSD. Mirairo yakasimba yaizoratidza kudiwa kwakasimba, kutsigira mari.
• ECB & RBNZ Hurukuro uye Mushumo Wekugadzikana Kwemari:
  Matauriro eHawkish kubva kuvakuru veECB aizotsigira EUR, ukuwo mazwi ehudovi anogona kuipfavisa. KuNew Zealand, mushumo weRBNZ wekugadzikana kwemari uye chero ruzivo rwegwaro kubva kuna Gov Orr zvingapesvedzera NZD, kunyanya kana vakaratidzira shanduko yezviyero kana matambudziko ehupfumi.
• US 3-Year Note Auction:
  Goho repamusoro raizotsigira USD, zvichiratidza kuwedzera kudiwa kwechikwereti cheUS kana tarisiro yekukwira kwemitengo. Goho rakaderera rinogona kuratidza kuderedzwa kwekukwira kwemitengo.

Overall Impact

Volatility:
Zvine mwero, zvine tarisiro paEurozone yekugadzira data, US fekitori maodha, uye hurukuro kubva kuvakuru vebhanga guru. Iyo RBNZ Financial Stability Report uye ECB tsinhiro ichabatsirawo kune zvinogona kuchinja muEUR neNZD.

Impact Score: 6/10, inotungamirwa nevepakati pebhangi ruzivo uye data rekugadzira kubva kuEurozone neUS, iyo ichagadzira tarisiro yehutano hwehupfumi uye hurongwa hwemari.