Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 4 Chikumi 2025

Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)	mamiriro	kukosha	Event	Forecast	pashure
00:30		2 points	kana Jibun Bank Services PMI (Chivabvu)	50.8	52.4
01:30		2 points	GDP (QQ) (Q1)	0.4%	0.6%
01:30		2 points	GDP (YoY) (Q1)	1.5%	1.3%
08:00		2 points	HCOB Eurozone Composite PMI (Chivabvu)	49.5	50.4
08:00		2 points	HCOB Eurozone Services PMI (Chivabvu)	48.9	50.1
12:15		3 points	ADP Nonfarm Employment Shanduko (Chivabvu)	111K	62K
12:30		2 points	FOMC Nhengo Bostic Inotaura	----	----
13:45		2 points	S&P Global Composite PMI (Chivabvu)	52.1	50.6
13:45		3 points	S&P Global Services PMI (Chivabvu)	52.3	50.8
14:00		2 points	ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment (Chivabvu)	----	49.0
14:00		3 points	ISM Isiri-Kugadzira PMI (Chivabvu)	52.1	51.6
14:00		3 points	Mitengo Isiri Yekugadzira ISM (Chivabvu)	----	65.1
14:30		3 points	Mafuta Asingawaniki Inventories	----	-2.795M
14:30		2 points	Cushing Crude Oil Inventories	----	0.075M
18:00		2 points	Beige Book	----	----

Pfupiso yeZviitiko zveEconomic Zvinouya musi waChikumi 4, 2025

Japani

1. kana Jibun Bank Services PMI (Chivabvu) – 00:30 UTC

• Forecast: 50.8 | Previous: 52.4
• Market Impact:
  • Kuramba kunoreva kunonoka masevhisi chikamu, izvo zvinogona kupera simba JPY uye kuderedza tariro yekukura.

Ositireriya

2. GDP (QoQ & YoY) (Q1) - 01:30 UTC

• Forecast (QoQ): 0.4% Previous: 0.6%
• Forecast (YoY): 1.5% Previous: 1.3%
• Market Impact:
  • Kunonoka kwekota kukura kunogona kuderedza RBA hawkishness, kumanikidza AUD.
  • Kana YoY ichipfuura zvinotarisirwa, investor manzwiro anogona kudzikama.

Eurozone

3. HCOB Eurozone Composite & Services PMI (Chivabvu) – 08:00 UTC

• Composite Forecast: 49.5 | Previous: 50.4
• Services Forecast: 48.9 | Previous: 50.1
• Market Impact:
  • Kuramba mune ese ari maviri indexes anoratidza kuderera kwehupfumi, zvichida kumanikidza EUR uye bond goho.
  • Kuita kwakashata kwesevhisi kunosimudza njodzi dzekudzikira mueurozone.

nyika dzakabatana

4. ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Chivabvu) – 12:15 UTC

• Forecast: 111K | Previous: 62K
• Market Impact:
  • Basa rekukura rebound rinotsigira simba remusika webasa, iyo inogona kuderedza chiyero chekucheka tarisiro, kutsigira USD uye goho.

5. Nhengo yeFOMC Bostic Inotaura - 12:30 UTC

• Market Impact:
  • Maonero emabasa uye inflation achaumba kwenguva pfupi Fed zvinotarisirwa.

6. S&P Global Composite & Services PMI (Chivabvu) - 13:45 UTC

• Composite Forecast: 52.1 | Previous: 50.6
• Services Forecast: 52.3 | Previous: 50.8
• Market Impact:
  • Kusimuka kunosimbisa kuwedzera kwehupfumi, kutsigira equities uye USD.

7. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI & Employment & Prices (Chivabvu) - 14:00 UTC

• PMI Forecast: 52.1 | Previous: 51.6
• Basa Pamberi: 49.0
• Mitengo Yakapfuura: 65.1
• Market Impact:
  • Yakasimba PMI uye mitengo index chiratidzo inflation kuramba, izvo zvinogona ganhurira Fed flexibility.
  • Data yebasa inokanganisa wage pressure view.

8. Crude Oil & Cushing Inventories - 14:30 UTC

• Previous Crude: -2.795M
• Previous Cushing: + 0.075M
• Market Impact:
  • Mamwe madhirowa anogona kutsigira mafuta emaori, kusimbisa inflation kutarisira.

9. Beige Book - 18:00 UTC

• Market Impact:
  • Inopa maonero edunhu basa rehupfumi uye inflation maitiro.
  • vanogona gadzira Fed toni pamberi pemisangano yeFOMC.

Market Impact Analysis

• Zuva riripo yakakanganiswa zvakanyanya neUS masevhisi data sector, kunyanya ISM uye S&P PMIs, uye ADP basa kukura.
• Eurozone PMI kushaya simba inogona kumanikidza EUR kana yakasimbiswa.
• Australia GDP kupfava inogona kufurira RBA zvinotarisirwa.
• Oiri data uye Beige Book inogona kukanganisa inflation uye kuenzanisa manzwiro kune June FOMC musangano.

Yese Impact Score: 9/10

Kiyi Yekutarisa:
Nezviratidzi zveUS zvakakura mabasa, basa, uye inflation zvese zvichiburitsa muchikamu chimwe chete, kutungamira kwemusika kuchaenderana zvakanyanya nekuti iyo Hupfumi hweUS hunoratidzika kunge hwakasimba kana kupisa. Yakasanganiswa neiyo isina simba Eurozone data uye yakapfava yeAustralia GDP, pane mukana we inopinza inofamba muUSD, EUR, AUD, mafuta, uye equities.