Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 4 Zvita 2024

Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)	mamiriro	kukosha	chiitiko	kushurudzira	pashure
00:30		2 pfungwa	GDP (QQ) (Q3)	0.5%	0.2%
00:30		2 pfungwa	GDP (YoY) (Q3)	1.1%	1.0%
00:30		2 pfungwa	kana Jibun Bank Japan Services PMI (Nov)	50.2	49.7
01:45		2 pfungwa	Caixin Services PMI (Nov)	52.5	52.0
09:00		2 pfungwa	HCOB Eurozone Composite PMI (Nov)	48.1	50.0
09:00		2 pfungwa	HCOB Eurozone Services PMI (Nov)	49.2	51.6
13:15		3 pfungwa	ADP Nonfarm Employment Shanduko (Nov)	166K	233K
13:30		2 pfungwa	Mutungamiri weECB Lagarde Vanotaura	---	---
14:45		2 pfungwa	S&P Global Composite PMI (Nov)	55.3	54.1
14:45		3 pfungwa	S&P Global Services PMI (Nov)	57.0	55.0
15:00		2 pfungwa	Factory Orders (MoM) (Oct)	0.3%	-0.5%
15:00		2 pfungwa	ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment (Nov)	53.0	53.0
15:00		3 pfungwa	ISM Isiri-Kugadzira PMI (Nov)	55.5	56.0
15:00		3 pfungwa	ISM Isiri-Kugadzira Mitengo (Nov)	56.4	58.1
15:30		3 pfungwa	Mafuta Asingawaniki Inventories	---	-1.844M
15:30		2 pfungwa	Cushing Crude Oil Inventories	---	-0.909M
15:30		2 pfungwa	Mutungamiri weECB Lagarde Vanotaura	---	---
18:45		3 pfungwa	Fed Chair Powell Anotaura	---	---
19:00		2 pfungwa	Beige Book	---	---

Pfupiso yeZviitiko Zvinouya zvehupfumi musi waZvita 4, 2024

1. GDP Data yeAustralia (Q3) (00:30 UTC):
   • QoQ: Forecast: 0.5%, Yakapfuura: 0.2%.
   • YOY: Forecast: 1.1%, Yakapfuura: 1.0%.
     Kukura kwakasimba kweGDP kwaizoratidza kupora kwehupfumi, kutsigira AUD. Mashoko asina simba angaratidza kuti hupfumi hunoita zvishoma nezvishoma, zvingangoremera mari.
2. Japan neChina PMI Data (00:30–01:45 UTC):
   • Japan kana Jibun Bank Services PMI (Nov): Forecast: 50.2, Zvakapfuura: 49.7.
   • China Caixin Services PMI (Nov): Forecast: 52.5, Zvakapfuura: 52.0.
     PMI kuverenga pamusoro pe50 kunoratidza kuwedzera. Huwandu hwakasimba hwaizotsigira iyo JPY neCNY nekusaina yakasimba sevhisi sevhisi kuita, nepo isina kusimba data inogona kuremedza mari.
3. Eurozone PMI Data (09:00 UTC):
   • Composite PMI (Nov): Forecast: 48.1, Zvakapfuura: 50.0.
   • Services PMI (Nov): Forecast: 49.2, Zvakapfuura: 51.6.
     PMIs pazasi 50 inoratidza contraction. Data isina kusimba yaizorema paEUR, nepo kuverenga kwakasimba-kupfuura-kunotarisirwa kungapa rutsigiro.
4. US ADP Nonfarm Employment Shanduko (Nov) (13:15 UTC):
   • Forecast: 166K, Previous: 233K.
     Inoratidza kukura kwebasa rebazi rakazvimirira. Nhamba isina kusimba inogona kuratidza kutonhora kwemusika wevashandi, kungangoita huremu paUSD. Data yakasimba yaizotsigira mari.
5. Mutungamiri weECB Lagarde Anotaura (13:30 na15:30 UTC):
   Maonero eHawkish kubva kuLagarde aizotsigira EUR nekusimbisa tarisiro yekusimbisa, nepo kutaura kwakashata kunogona kupfavisa mari.
6. US PMI & Factory Orders (14:45–15:00 UTC):
   • S&P Global Services PMI (Nov): Forecast: 57.0, Zvakapfuura: 55.0.
   • ISM Isiri Kugadzira PMI (Nov): Forecast: 55.5, Zvakapfuura: 56.0.
   • Factory Orders (MoM) (Oct): Forecast: 0.3%, Yakapfuura: -0.5%.
     Kuvandudza PMI uye data remafekitori kwaizoratidza kusimba muhupfumi hweUS, kutsigira USD. Mashoko asina simba anogona kuremedza mari.
7. US Crude Oil Inventories (15:30 UTC):
   • Previous: -1.844M.
     Kudonhedza kwakakura kwaizotsigira mitengo yemafuta uye mari yakabatana nemidziyo, nepo chivakwa chaizoratidza kushomeka kuri kuita, kumanikidza mitengo.
8. Fed Chair Powell Anotaura & Beige Book (18:45–19:00 UTC):
   Zvakataurwa naPowell neBhuku reBeige zvinogona kupa nzwisiso mumaonero eFed pamusoro pekukwira kwemitengo, kukura, uye mafambiro emitemo yeramangwana. Matoni eHawkish aizotsigira iyo USD, nepo matauriro ehudovish anogona kuinetesa.

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Market Impact Analysis

• Australia GDP Data:
  Huwandu hweGDP hwakasimba hwaizotsigira AUD, zvichiratidza simba rehupfumi. Mashoko asina simba anogona kudzikisira manzwiro emari.
• Japan neChina PMI Data:
  Kuwedzera kwemasevhisi eJapan kana eChina kwaizotsigira JPY neCNY, zvichiratidza kudzoreredzwa kwehupfumi. Contraction inogona kurema pane ese mari.
• Eurozone PMI Data & ECB Commentary:
  Weaker PMIs yaizoyera EUR nekusimbisa matambudziko ehupfumi. Hawkish ECB tsananguro inogona kupikisa kukanganisa kwe data isina simba, kutsigira mari.
• US ADP, PMI, uye Factory Orders:
  Basa rakasimba uye PMI data yaizosimbisa iyo USD nekuratidzira kusimba muchikamu chebasa uye sevhisi. Data risina simba rinogona kuratidza kutonhora kwehupfumi, kurema pamari.
• Crude Oil Inventories:
  Kudonhedza kwaizotsigira mitengo yemafuta, kubatsiridza mari-yakabatana nemari seCAD neAUD. Chivakwa chaizoratidza kushomeka kushoma, kumanikidza mitengo.
• Fed Chair Powell & Beige Book:
  Matoni eHawkish aizotsigira USD nekusimbisa tarisiro yekukwira kwemwero. Matauriro ehudovi kana manzwiro ekuchenjerera anogona kuremedza mari.

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Overall Impact

Volatility:
Yakakwira, ine data rakakosha kubva kuAustralia, Eurozone, uye US, padivi pebhengi repakati tsinhiro kubva kuLagarde naPowell vachiumba musika manzwiro.

Impact Score: 8/10, inotungamirwa neGDP, PMI, data rebasa, uye ruzivo rwebhangi repakati rinopesvedzera AUD, EUR, uye USD kufamba.