Jeremy Oles

Rakabudiswa On: 29/10/2024
Goverana!
Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 30 Gumiguru 2024
By Rakabudiswa On: 29/10/2024
Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)mamirirokukoshachiitikokushurudzirapashure
00:30🇦🇺2 pfungwaCPI (YoY) (Q3)2.3%3.8%
00:30🇦🇺2 pfungwaCPI (QoQ) (Q3)0.3%1.0%
00:30🇦🇺2 pfungwaYakagadzirirwa Mean CPI (QoQ) (Q3)0.7%0.8%
10:00🇪🇺2 pfungwaGDP (YoY) (Q3)0.8%0.6%
10:00🇪🇺2 pfungwaGDP (QQ) (Q3)0.2%0.2%
12:15Extraterrestrial3 pfungwaADP Nonfarm Employment Shanduko (Oct)101K143K
12:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaCore PCE Mitengo (Q3)---2.80%
12:30Extraterrestrial3 pfungwaGDP (QQ) (Q3)3.0%3.0%
12:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaGDP Price Index (QQ) (Q3)2.0%2.5%
14:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaYakamirira Kutengeswa Kwepamba (MoM) (Sep)0.9%0.6%
14:30Extraterrestrial3 pfungwaMafuta Asingawaniki Inventories---5.474M
14:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaCushing Crude Oil Inventories----0.346M
15:00🇪🇺2 pfungwaECB's Schnabel Inotaura------
23:50🇯🇵2 pfungwaKugadzirwa kwemaindasitiri (MoM) (Sep)0.9%-3.3%

Pfupiso yeZviitiko Zvehupfumi Zvinouya muna Gumiguru 30, 2024

  1. Australia CPI (YoY) (Q3) (00:30 UTC):
    Inotarisa inflation yegore negore. Forecast: 2.3%, Yakapfuura: 3.8%. Kuderera kwemitengo kunoratidza kudzikisira kwemitengo, zvinogona kukanganisa RBA chiyero chesarudzo.
  2. Australia CPI (QoQ) (Q3) (00:30 UTC):
    Inoyera shanduko yekota mumitengo yevatengi. Forecast: 0.3%, Yakapfuura: 1.0%. Kuderera kwemari kunononoka kunogona kuderedza kudzvinyirira paRBA kuti iwedzere kuomesa.
  3. Australia Yakatemwa Zvinoreva CPI (QoQ) (Q3) (00:30 UTC):
    Iyo RBA yakasarudzika chiyero chepakati inflation. Forecast: 0.7%, Yakapfuura: 0.8%. Kuverengera kwakaderera kunoratidza kudzikira kwemitengo, kutsigira maonero akapusa.
  4. Eurozone GDP (YoY) (Q3) (10:00 UTC):
    Gore-pamusoro-gore kukura muEurozone GDP. Forecast: 0.8%, Yakapfuura: 0.6%. Kukura kwepamusoro-kupfuura-kunotarisirwa kwaizoratidza kusimba kwehupfumi, kutsigira EUR.
  5. Eurozone GDP (QoQ) (Q3) (10:00 UTC):
    Quarterly kukura mwero muEurozone hupfumi. Forecast: 0.2%, Yakapfuura: 0.2%. Kukura kwakadzikama kwaizoratidza basa rehupfumi rine mwero.
  6. US ADP Nonfarm Employment Shanduko (Oct) (12:15 UTC):
    Kuchinja kwemabasa emapato ega ega. Forecast: 101K, Yakapfuura: 143K. Kuderera kwekuwedzera kwemabasa kungaratidza kutonhora kwemusika wevashandi, izvo zvinogona kukanganisa chiyero cheFed.
  7. US Core PCE Mitengo (Q3) (12:30 UTC):
    Inoteedza shanduko mune yakakosha mashandisiro emunhu ekushandisa index. Zvakapfuura: 2.8%. Core PCE ndiyo yakakosha inflation chiyero chinotariswa neFed.
  8. US GDP (QoQ) (Q3) (12:30 UTC):
    Inoyera kukura kwekota muhupfumi hweUS. Forecast: 3.0%, Yakapfuura: 3.0%. Kukura kwakasimba kweGDP kwaizotsigira zvinotarisirwa kune hupfumi hwakasimba.
  9. US GDP Price Index (QoQ) (Q3) (12:30 UTC):
    Inoyera inflation mukati meGDP report. Forecast: 2.0%, Yakapfuura: 2.5%. Kuderera kwemitengo yakaderera kwaizoderedza kunetseka kwekupisa muhupfumi.
  10. US Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Sep) (14:00 UTC):
    Inoyera shanduko yemwedzi-pamusoro-mwedzi mukutengesa kwemba. Forecast: 0.9%, Yakapfuura: 0.6%. Kuwedzera kwaizoratidza simba remusika wedzimba.
  11. US Crude Oil Inventories (14:30 UTC):
    Inoteedzera shanduko yevhiki nevhiki muUS crude stockpiles. Zvakapfuura: 5.474M. Kuvakwa mumatura kunoratidza kushomeka kushoma, nepo kudhirowa kunoratidza kudiwa kwakasimba.
  12. Cushing Crude Oil Inventories (14:30 UTC):
    Inoyera mazinga ekuchengetedza mafuta kuCushing, Oklahoma. Zvakapfuura: -0.346M. Shanduko pano dzinogona kukanganisa mitengo yeUS.
  13. ECB's Schnabel Anotaura (15:00 UTC):
    ECB Executive Board Member Isabel Schnabel anogona kupa nzwisiso mumaonero eECB pamusoro pekukwira kwemitengo uye mutemo wemari.
  14. Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Sep) (23:50 UTC):
    Inoyera shanduko yemwedzi wega wega mukubuda kwemaindasitiri. Forecast: 0.9%, Previous: -3.3%. Kukura mukugadzirwa kwaizoratidza kupora muchikamu chekugadzira cheJapan.

Market Impact Analysis

  • Australia CPI Data (YoY, QoQ, Yakatemwa Zvinoreva):
    Kuderera-kupfuura-kunotarisirwa kukwira kwemitengo kunogona kutsigira chimiro chedovish kubva kuRBA, zvinogona kukanganisa AUD. Nhamba dzepamusoro dzekukwira kwemitengo dzinowedzera kudzvanywa paRBA yekusimbisa, kutsigira AUD.
  • Eurozone GDP Data (YoY uye QoQ):
    Kukura-kupfuura-kunotarisirwa kukura kweGDP kwaizotsigira EUR, zvichiratidza kusimba kwehupfumi. Kukura kusina simba kunogona kuremedza EUR sezvo zvichiratidza kuderera kwehupfumi.
  • US ADP Nonfarm Employment Shanduko:
    Kudzikira mukugadzirwa kwemabasa kunogona kuratidza kuderera kwemusika wevashandi, zvinogona kupfavisa USD sezvo zvichiratidza kuderera kweFed mwero wekuwedzera mikana. Kukura kwebasa kwakasimba kwaizotsigira USD.
  • US Core PCE Mitengo uye GDP Data:
    Higher core PCE uye kukura kweGDP kwaizotsigira USD, kuratidza kusimba kwehupfumi uye inflation. Kuderera kweinflation nhamba kwaizoderedza mukana wekuwedzera kweFed rate kukwira, zvichigona kuderedza USD.
  • US Crude Oil Inventories:
    Kuvakwa kwakakura-kupfuura-kunotarisirwa mumatura emafuta kungaratidza kushomeka kushoma, zvichigona kuisa kuderera kwemitengo yemafuta. Kudonhedza kungaratidza kudiwa kwakasimba, kutsigira mitengo.
  • Japan Industrial Production:
    Kukura kwakanaka mukugadzirwa kwemaindasitiri kwaizotsigira JPY nekuratidza kudzoreredza muchikamu chekugadzira cheJapan, nepo data isina kusimba inogona kuyera mari.

Overall Impact

Volatility:
Yakakwirira, ine tarisiro yedata rekukwira kwemitengo kubva kuAustralia, nhamba dzeGDP kubva kuEurozone neUS, uye data rebasa reUS. Misika yemagetsi ichavewo nehanya nekuchinja kwezvinhu.

Impact Score: 8/10, nekuda kwekuburitswa kwedata kwakakosha kunozogadzirisa zvinotarisirwa kubhanga repakati uye manzwiro emusika pakukura kwehupfumi uye inflation muhupfumi hukuru.