Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 3 Chikumi 2025

Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)	mamiriro	kukosha	Event	Forecast	pashure
01:30		2 points	Kambani Gross Operating Profits (QoQ) (Q1)	1.4%	5.9%
01:30		2 points	Akaunti Yazvino (Q1)	-12.3B	-12.5B
01:30		2 points	RBA Meeting Maminitsi	----	----
01:45		2 points	Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Chivabvu)	50.8	50.4
03:35		2 points	10-Yegore JGB Auction	----	1.274%
09:00		2 points	Core CPI (YoY) (Chivabvu)	----	2.7%
09:00		2 points	CPI (MoM) (Chivabvu)	----	0.6%
09:00		3 points	CPI (YoY) (Chivabvu)	2.0%	2.2%
09:00		2 points	Mwero Wokushaya Basa (Kubvumbi)	6.2%	6.2%
14:00		2 points	Factory Orders (MoM) (Kubvumbi)	-3.1%	3.4%
14:00		3 points	JOLTS Basa Kuvhurwa (Kubvumbi)	----	7.192M
20:30		2 points	API Weekly Crude Oil Stock	----	-4.236M

Pfupiso yeZviitiko zveEconomic Zvinouya musi waChikumi 3, 2025

Ositireriya

1. Kambani Gross Operating Profits (QoQ) (Q1) - 01:30 UTC

• Forecast: +1.4% | Previous: + 5.9%
• Market Impact:
  • Kukura zvishoma nezvishoma mupurofiti kunogona kuratidza kuderera kwemari yebhizinesi, zvichida kuyera paAUD uye equities.
  • Zvichiri-zvakanaka kukura zvinoratidza kusimba.

2. Current Account (Q1) – 01:30 UTC

• Forecast: -12.3B | Previous: -12.5B
• Market Impact:
  • Deficit kuderedza zvishoma; kana kuperevedza kuri kukuru kupfuura zvinotarisirwa, zvinogona pressure AUD.

3. RBA Meeting Minutes – 01:30 UTC

• Market Impact:
  • Inopa kujekesa pamusoro peRBA's policy direction uye inflation maonero.
  • Dovish toni yaigona simbisa zvinotarisirwa zvechiyero chekubata kana kuderedzwa, kuderedza AUD.

China

4. Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Chivabvu) - 01:45 UTC

• Forecast: 50.8 | Previous: 50.4
• Market Impact:
  • Kuverenga pamusoro pe50 kunosimbisa Kuwedzera. An upside surprise could tsigira mari yezvinhu (AUD, NZD) uye manzwiro enyika.

Japani

5. 10-Year JGB Auction - 03:35 UTC

• Previous Goho: 1.274%
• Market Impact:
  • Kufamba kwegoho kunoratidza kudiwa kwemabhondi ehurumende yeJapan.
  • Kudiwa kusina simba kunogona kusimudza goho uye kuderedza JPY.

Eurozone

6. CPI (YoY & MoM) (Chivabvu) – 09:00 UTC

• Forecast (YoY): 2.0% Previous: 2.2%
• Previous Amai: 0.6%

7. Core CPI (YoY): Yapfuura: 2.7%

8. Mwero Wokushaya Basa (Kubvumbi): Forecast & Zvakapfuura: 6.2%

• Market Impact:
  • Lower CPI inosimbisa dovish ECB tarisiro, zvichida kumanikidza EUR.
  • Kunama kana kukwira kweiyo inflation kunogona kukanganisa maonero emutemo.
  • Urovha hwakadzikama hunotsigira kugadzikana kwehupfumi kwakakura.

nyika dzakabatana

9. Factory Orders (MoM) (Kubvumbi) - 14:00 UTC

• Forecast: -3.1% | Previous: + 3.4%
• Market Impact:
  • Kudonha kwakapinza kwaizoita kuratidza kudzikira kudiwa kwemaindasitiri, zvichida kurema equities uye USD.

10. JOLTS Job Openings (Kubvumbi) - 14: 00 UTC

• Previous: 7.192M
• Market Impact:
  • Kiyi yemusika wevashandi metric. Kudonha kunogona kuratidza kutonhora kwemusika wevashandi, kutsigira a dovish Fed maonero.

11. API Weekly Crude Oil Stock - 20:30 UTC

• Previous: -4.236M
• Market Impact:
  • Kuenderera mberi kudhirowa rutsigiro mitengo yemafuta yakakwirira uye simba misika yemagetsi uye manzwiro ekukwira kwemitengo.

Market Impact Analysis

• Focus in Asia-Pacific iripo RBA maminetsi uye Chinese kugadzira data, zvingangokanganisa AUD uye matunhu ematunhu.
• Eurozone inflation data inogona kugadzirisa zvakare ECB mitemo inotarisirwa, kunyanya kana CPI ichipinda pasi pe2.0%.
• US fekitori mirairo uye JOLTS zvakakosha pakuyera kusimba kwekugadzira uye kusimba kwebasa.
• Oil inventory nhamba zvinogona kukanganisa commodity-linked currencies uye inflation trades.

Yese Impact Score: 7/10

Kiyi Yekutarisa:
Chikamu chepasi rose chine data riri pakati nepakati kusvika pakakwirira. US vashandi uye fekitori mirairo, Eurozone inflation, uye China's PMI ichaumba mutemo wemari uye manzwiro emusika. Tarisira kudzikama kuri pakati nepakati nepakati EUR, USD, AUD, mafuta, uye equities, kunyanya kana inflation kana data yevashandi ikatsauka pane zvinotarisirwa.