Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 3 Chikunguru 2025

Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)	mamiriro	kukosha	Event	Forecast	pashure
00:30		2 points	kana Jibun Bank Services PMI (Jun)	51.5	51.5
01:30		2 points	Trade Balance (Chivabvu)	5.080B	5.413B
01:45		2 points	Caixin Services PMI (Chikumi)	51.0	51.1
08:00		2 points	HCOB Eurozone Composite PMI (Chikumi)	50.2	50.2
08:00		2 points	HCOB Eurozone Services PMI (Chikumi)	50.0	50.0
11:30		2 points	ECB Inoburitsa Account yeMonetary Policy Meeting	----	----
12:30		2 points	Avhareji Yomuhoro Weawa (YoY) (YoY) (Chikumi)	----	3.9%
12:30		2 points	Avhareji Yemihoro Yeawa (MoM) (Chikumi)	0.3%	0.4%
12:30		2 points	Kuenderera mberi Nezvichemo Zvisina Basa	----	1,974K
12:30		2 points	Zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika (Chivabvu)	----	289.40B
12:30		2 points	Zvinotengwa kunze kwenyika (Chivabvu)	----	351.00B
12:30		2 points	Pakutanga Kusarudzwa kweJobho	239K	236K
12:30		2 points	Nonfarm Payrolls (Chikumi)	120K	139K
12:30		2 points	Chiyero chekutora chikamu (Chikumi)	----	62.4%
12:30		2 points	Private Nonfarm Payrolls (Chikumi)	----	140K
12:30		2 points	Trade Balance (Chivabvu)	-69.60B	-61.60B
12:30		2 points	U6 Urovha Mwero (Chikumi)	----	7.8%
12:30		2 points	Mwero Wokushaya Basa (Chikumi)	4.3%	4.2%
13:45		2 points	S&P Global Composite PMI (Chikumi)	52.8	52.8
13:45		2 points	S&P Global Services PMI (Chikumi)	53.1	53.1
14:00		2 points	Factory Orders (MoM) (Chivabvu)	7.9%	-3.7%
14:00		2 points	ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment (Chikumi)	----	50.7
14:00		2 points	ISM Isiri Kugadzira PMI (Jun)	50.8	49.9
14:00		2 points	Mitengo Isiri Yekugadzira ISM (Chikumi)	----	68.7
15:00		2 points	FOMC Nhengo Bostic Inotaura	----	----
17:00		2 points	Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2)	2.5%	2.5%
17:00		2 points	US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count	----	432
17:00		2 points	US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count	----	547
23:30		2 points	Kushandiswa Kwemhuri (MoM) (Chivabvu)	0.4%	-1.8%
23:30		2 points	Kushandiswa Kwemhuri (YoY) (Chivabvu)	1.3%	-0.1%

Pfupiso yeZviitiko Zvehupfumi Zvinouya musi waChikunguru 3, 2025

Asia - Japan, Australia & China

kana Jibun Bank Services PMI (Chikumi) – 00:30 UTC

• Zvinotarisirwa: 51.5 (yapfuura 51.5)
• Impact: Kuverenga kwakatsiga kunoratidza basa rakatsiga muJapan; kwazvakarerekera kune JPY kunze kwekunge kushamisika kutsauka.

Australia Trade Balance (Chivabvu) - 01:30 UTC

• Zvinotarisirwa: 5.08B (yapfuura 5.413B)
• Impact: Lower trade surplus inogona kuderedza AUD zvishoma; kiyi yetarisiro yehupfumi inotungamirwa kunze kwenyika.

Caixin Services PMI (Chikumi) – 01:45 UTC

• Zvinotarisirwa: 51.0 (yapfuura 51.1)
• Impact: Kuenzanisa zvishoma kunotarisirwa; inoramba iri munzvimbo yekuwedzera. Inotsigira CNY uye yakawedzera njodzi manzwiro.

Japan Household Spending (MoM) (Chivabvu) – 23:30 UTC

• Zvinotarisirwa: 0.4% (yapfuura -1.8%)
• Impact: Kudzokororwa kunoratidza kuita kwakasimba kwevatengi, kutsigira kwemumba kudzoreredza maonero uye JPY.

Japan Household Spending (YoY) (Chivabvu) – 23:30 UTC

• Zvinotarisirwa: 1.3% (yapfuura -0.1%)
• Impact: Kushandiswa kwepagore kwepamusoro kunoratidza kudzikamisa mamiriro ekudiwa.

Europe - ECB & PMI Data

HCOB Eurozone Composite PMI (Chikumi) - 08:00 UTC

• Zvinotarisirwa: 50.2 (yakafanana neyakare)
• Impact: Inochengetedza chiratidzo chekukura chisina kwayakarerekera; inochengetedza EUR yakatsiga kunze kwekunge shanduko isingatarisirwe.

HCOB Eurozone Services PMI (Chikumi) – 08:00 UTC

• Zvinotarisirwa: 50.0 (yakafanana neyakare)
• Impact: Zviratidzo kumira mumabasa ebasa; dovish kana ichiramba, ichisimbisa kungwarira ECB chimiro.

ECB Inoburitsa Account yeMonetary Policy Meeting - 11:30 UTC

• Impact: Inogona kuratidza gakava remukati pamusoro pegwara regwara; dovish toni inogona kuyera EUR uye eurozone goho.

United States - Labor, PMI, Trade & Fed Commentary

Nonfarm Payrolls (Chikumi) – 12:30 UTC

• Zvinotarisirwa: 120K (yapfuura 139K)
• Impact: Kubhadhara kusina simba kunogona kumutsidzira mabheti-akatemwa; kupotsa pazasi 100K kunogona kukonzeresa USD pasi.

Mwero Wokushaya Basa (Chikumi) - 12:30 UTC

• Zvinotarisirwa: 4.3% (yapfuura 4.2%)
• Impact: Kusimudza zvishoma kunosimbisa maitiro akapfava ebasa; inotsigira dovish Fed zvinotarisirwa.

Zvichemo zvekutanga zvisina basa - 12:30 UTC

• Zvinotarisirwa: 239K (yapfuura 236K)
• Impact: Kuwedzera zvine mwero kunoratidza zvishoma nezvishoma kupfavisa musika wevashandi; inosimbisa kusarura kwemwero.

Avhareji Yemihoro yeAwa (MoM) (Jun) – 12:30 UTC

• Zvinotarisirwa: 0.3% (yapfuura 0.4%)
• Impact: Kukura kwemuhoro unononoka kunorerutsa inflation pressure, dovish sign yeFed.

Trade Balance (Chivabvu) - 12:30 UTC

• Zvinotarisirwa: -69.60B (yapfuura -61.60B)
• Impact: Wider deficit inogona kuyera zvishoma pane zvinotarisirwa zveGDP; shoma pamusika kukanganisa kunze kwekunge kushamisika kukuru.

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - 14:00 UTC

• Zvinotarisirwa: 50.8 (yapfuura 49.9)
• Impact: Kudzokera kunzvimbo yekuwedzera inotsigira nyoro yekumhara rondedzero; bullish kana ichitsigirwa.

Factory Orders (MoM) (Chivabvu) - 14:00 UTC

• Zvinotarisirwa: 7.9% (yapfuura -3.7%)
• Impact: Kudzoreredza kwakasimba kunowedzera manzwiro ekudyara kwebhizinesi; inotsigira equity kasim.

S&P Global Services PMI (Jun) – 13:45 UTC

• Zvinotarisirwa: 53.1 (yakafanana neyakare)
• Impact: Kuwedzera kwakasimba; inosimbisa kusimba muchikamu chebasa.

Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2) - 17:00 UTC

• Zvinotarisirwa: 2.5% (zvakafanana)
• Impact: Kutsiga kukura fungidziro inochengeta Fed mune data-inotsamira maitiro; kwaakarerekera kunze kwekunge kudzokororwa kukuru.

FOMC Nhengo Bostic Inotaura - 15:00 UTC

• Impact: Inogona kupa nzwisiso muFed's bias pamutengo wekucheka; musika uchaongorora toni.

Commodity & Energy

US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count - 17:00 UTC

• Previous: 432
• Impact: Lower rig count inotsigira mitengo yemafuta; inokanganisa manzwiro echikamu chesimba.

API Weekly Crude Oil Stock – N/A

• Dhirowa yapfuura: -4.277M
• Impact: Kuenderera mberi kudhirowa kunogona kuchengetedza mutengo wemafuta uchikwira; inflationary tilt kana ikaramba iripo.

Market Impact Analysis

• US data yevashandi inotonga, ine nonfarm payrolls, kushaikwa kwemabasa, uye mihoro inoumba Fed policy view.
• Eurozone masevhisi PMIs uye ECB maminetsi isa toni yeEUR uye bond direction.
• Asia data (China PMI, Australia kutengeserana) inowedzera mamiriro ekudiwa kwepasi rose uye maitiro ezvigadzirwa.
• Oiri inventory uye rig kuverenga tungamira tarisiro yekukwira kwemitengo yemagetsi.

Yese Impact Score: 8/10

Key Watchpoints:

• US mabasa uye muhoro data - yakakosha kune yenguva pfupi yeFed chiyero chemitemo inotarisirwa.
• Eurozone PMI & ECB maminetsi - inotungamira EUR manzwiro.
• China PMI & Australia kutengeserana - zviratidzo zvekutanga zvezvigadzirwa uye kukura kwekunzwa.
• ISM masevhisi uye maodha efekitori - yakakosha pakusimbisa kusimba kwehupfumi hweUS.