Jeremy Oles

Rakabudiswa On: 28/10/2024
Goverana!
Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 29 Gumiguru 2024
By Rakabudiswa On: 28/10/2024
Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)mamirirokukoshachiitikokushurudzirapashure
12:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaKutengeserana Kwezvinhu Balance (Sep)-96.10B-94.22B
12:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaRetail Inventories Ex Auto (Sep)---0.5%
13:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaS&P/CS HPI Composite – 20 nsa (MoM) (Aug)---0.0%
13:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaS&P/CS HPI Composite – 20 nsa (YoY) (Aug)4.6%5.9%
14:00Extraterrestrial3 pfungwaCB Consumer Confidence (Oct)99.298.7
14:00Extraterrestrial3 pfungwaJOLTS Job Openings (Sep)7.920M8.040M
14:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaAtlanta Fed GDPNow3.3%3.3%
17:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwa7-Yegore Note Auction---3.668%
20:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaAPI Weekly Crude Oil Stock---1.643M

Pfupiso yeZviitiko Zvehupfumi Zvinouya muna Gumiguru 29, 2024

  1. Kutengeswa Kwezvinhu zveUS (Sep) (12:30 UTC):
    Inoteya mutsauko pakati pezvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika nekubva kunze kwenyika. Forecast: -$96.10B, Pashure: -$94.22B. Kuwedzera kushomeka kungaratidza kuwedzera kwekuita kwekunze kune dzimwe nyika, izvo zvinogona kurema paUSD.
  2. US Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Sep) (12:30 UTC):
    Inoyera shanduko muzvitoro zvezvitoro, kusasanganisa mota. Zvakapfuura: 0.5%. Kuverenga kwepamusoro kunoratidza kuwedzera kuunganidza, izvo zvinogona kuratidza kushomeka kwekuda kana nyaya dzekutengesa.
  3. S&P/CS HPI Composite – 20 nsa (MoM) (Aug) (13:00 UTC):
    Inoteedzera shanduko yemwedzi-pamusoro-mwedzi mumitengo yemba mumaguta makuru makumi maviri. Zvakapfuura: 20%. Chero kuwedzera kwaizoratidza kuenderera mberi kwekuda kweimba, nepo kudzikira kungaratidza musika unotonhorera.
  4. S&P/CS HPI Composite – 20 nsa (YoY) (Aug) (13:00 UTC):
    Gore negore shanduko yemitengo yemba. Forecast: 4.6%, Yakapfuura: 5.9%. Mwero wakaderera wekukura unogona kuratidza kudzikisira mamiriro emusika wedzimba.
  5. US CB Consumer Confidence (Oct) (14:00 UTC):
    Inoyera kusatya kwevatengi. Forecast: 99.2, Yakapfuura: 98.7. Kuvimba kwepamusoro kungaratidza kuti vatengi vane tarisiro nezvehupfumi, vachitsigira USD.
  6. US JOLTS Basa Kuvhurwa (Sep) (14:00 UTC):
    Inoteedzera huwandu hwekuvhurwa kwemabasa, zvichiratidza kudiwa kwemusika wevashandi. Forecast: 7.920M, Pamberi: 8.040M. Kuvhurwa kwemabasa kushoma kunogona kuratidza kutonhora kwemusika wevashandi.
  7. Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) (14:30 UTC):
    Real-time fungidziro yeQ3 US GDP kukura. Forecast: 3.3%, Yakapfuura: 3.3%. Hapana shanduko inotarisirwa, asi chero gadziriso inogona kukanganisa zvinotarisirwa kuita kwehupfumi.
  8. US 7-Year Note Auction (17:00 UTC):
    Iyo Treasury inotengesa manotsi emakore manomwe. Pamberi pegoho: 7%. Kukwira kwegoho kunoratidza kukwira kwemitengo yekukwereta uye tarisiro yekukwira kwemitengo, zvichitsigira USD.
  9. API Weekly Crude Oil Stock (20:30 UTC):
    Inoyera shanduko yevhiki nevhiki mumaoiri asina kuchena. Zvakapfuura: 1.643M. Kudonhedza kukuru mumasheya kwaizoratidza kudiwa kwakasimba, kutsigira mitengo yemafuta, nepo chivakwa chinogona kuyera mitengo.

Market Impact Analysis

  • Kutengeserana Kwezvinhu zveUS:
    Kushaikwa kukuru kwekutengeserana kungaratidza chiitiko chepamusoro chekutenga kunze zvine chekuita nekutengesa kunze kwenyika, zvichigona kunetesa USD. Kushomeka kwakadzikira kwaizotsigira dhora nekupa zano rakasimba rekuita kunze kwenyika.
  • US Retail Inventories Ex Auto:
    Mafekitori ari kusimukira anoratidza kuti mabhizinesi ari kuunganidza, pamwe nekuda kwekushomeka kwevatengi. Izvi zvinogona kurema paUSD sezvo zvichiratidza kuderera kwehupfumi.
  • S&P/CS HPI Composite – makumi maviri (MoM & YoY):
    Kuderera kwegore-kupfuura-gore mutengo wekuwedzera ungaratidza musika unotonhorera wedzimba, nepo nhamba dzakasimba dzichiratidza kuenderera mberi kudiwa, kutsigira USD.
  • US CB Consumer Confidence & JOLTS Job Openings:
    Kuvimbika kwemutengi wepamusoro kunoratidza tarisiro uye kunogona kuwedzera USD, ukuwo kudzikira kwekuvhurwa kwemabasa kungaratidza kupfava kwemusika wevashandi, zvinogona kunetesa USD.
  • US 7-Year Note Auction:
    Goho repamusoro raizotsigira USD, zvichiratidza tarisiro yakasimba yekukwira kwemitengo kana mari dzenjodzi, izvo zvinokwezva mari yekunze.
  • API Weekly Crude Oil Stock:
    Kudonhedza kwakakura-kupfuura-kunotarisirwa mumatura kungaratidza kudiwa kwakasimba, zvichigona kuwedzera mitengo yemafuta. Kuvakwa mumatura kungaratidza kushomeka kushoma, zvichiisa kuderera kwemitengo yemafuta.

Overall Impact

Volatility:
Zvine mwero, zvine kutarisisa kwakanyanya pane kuvimba kwevatengi, data redzimba, uye zviratidzo zvemusika wevashandi. Mafuta emusika dynamics anozobatsirawo kune zvingangoita mutengo mafambiro.

Impact Score: 6/10, inotungamirwa nekubatanidzwa kwekuvimba kwevatengi, data rekutengesa, uye kuvhurwa kwemabasa kunogona kuumba tarisiro yehutano hwehupfumi uye mutemo wemari.