Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 27 Mbudzi 2024

Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)	mamiriro	kukosha	chiitiko	kushurudzira	pashure
00:30		2 pfungwa	Basa Rekuvaka Rakaitwa (QoQ) (Q3)	0.4%	0.1%
01:00		3 pfungwa	RBNZ Mubereko Wemutero Sarudzo	4.25%	4.75%
01:00		2 pfungwa	RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement	---	---
01:00		2 pfungwa	Chirevo cheRBNZ	---	---
02:00		2 pfungwa	RBNZ Press Musangano	---	---
08:00		2 pfungwa	European Central Bank Non-Monetary Policy Meeting	---	---
13:30		2 pfungwa	Kuenderera mberi Nezvichemo Zvisina Basa	---	1,908K
13:30		2 pfungwa	Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Oct)	0.4%	0.5%
13:30		2 pfungwa	Core PCE Mitengo (Q3)	2.20%	2.80%
13:30		3 pfungwa	Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Oct)	-0.8%	0.0%
13:30		3 pfungwa	GDP (QQ) (Q3)	2.8%	3.0%
13:30		2 pfungwa	GDP Price Index (QQ) (Q3)	1.8%	2.5%
13:30		2 pfungwa	Kutengeserana Kwezvinhu Balance (Gumiguru)	-101.60B	-108.23B
13:30		3 pfungwa	Pakutanga Kusarudzwa kweJobho	220K	213K
13:30		2 pfungwa	Kushandisa Pachako (MoM) (Oct)	0.4%	0.5%
13:30		2 pfungwa	Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Gumiguru)	---	0.2%
14:45		3 pfungwa	Chicago PMI	44.9	41.6
15:00		3 pfungwa	Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Oct)	0.3%	0.3%
15:00		3 pfungwa	Core PCE Mutengo Index (YoY) (Oct)	---	2.7%
15:00		2 pfungwa	PCE Mutengo index (YoY) (Oct)	---	2.1%
15:00		2 pfungwa	PCE mutengo index (MoM) (Oct)	0.2%	0.2%
15:00		2 pfungwa	Yakamirira Kutengeswa Kwepamba (MoM) (Oct)	-2.1%	7.4%
15:30		3 pfungwa	Mafuta Asingawaniki Inventories	---	0.545M
15:30		2 pfungwa	Cushing Crude Oil Inventories	---	-0.140M
16:00		2 pfungwa	RBNZ Press Musangano	---	---
18:00		2 pfungwa	7-Yegore Note Auction	---	4.215%
18:00		2 pfungwa	Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4)	2.6%	2.6%
18:00		2 pfungwa	US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count	---	479
18:00		2 pfungwa	US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count	---	583
18:00		2 pfungwa	ECB's Lane Inotaura	---	---

Pfupiso yeZviitiko Zvehupfumi Zvinouya muna Mbudzi 27, 2024

1. Basa Rokuvaka reAustralia Raitwa (QoQ) (Q3) (00:30 UTC):
   • Forecast: 0.4%, Previous: 0.1%.
     Inoratidza basa rekuvaka muAustralia. Kukura-kupfuura-kunotarisirwa kukura kwaizotsigira iyo AUD, nepo isina kusimba data inogona kurema pairi.
2. RBNZ Chirevo cheChibereko Sarudzo & Zviteshi zvePolisi (01:00–02:00 UTC):
   • Forecast Rate: 4.25%, Previous: 4.75%.
     Kuchekwa kwechiyero kwaizoratidza kurerutswa kwemari, zvichigona kunetesa NZD. Kana chiyero chikaramba chisina kuchinjwa kana nhungamiro ikaramba iine hawkish, NZD ingangowana rubatsiro.
3. ECB Non-Monetary Policy Meeting (08:00 UTC):
   Hurukuro dzisingaenderane negwaro remari asi dzinogona kupa ruzivo rwenzvimbo dzeECB dzinotariswa. Kukanganisa kwakaganhurirwa nekukasira kunze kwekunge nyaya dzakakosha dzagadziriswa.
4. US GDP Data (Q3) (13:30 UTC):
   • QoQ Kukura: Forecast: 2.8%, Yakapfuura: 3.0%.
   • Price Index QoQ: Forecast: 1.8%, Yakapfuura: 2.5%.
     Kudzikira GDP kukura kana kuderera kwemitengo indekisi kwaizoratidza kurerutsa basa rehupfumi uye inflation kudzvinyirira, zvingangorema paUSD.
5. US Durable Goods Orders (Oct) (13:30 UTC):
   • Durable Goods: Forecast: -0.8%, Yakapfuura: 0.0%.
   • Zvinhu Zvikuru Zvisingaperi (Kusingabatanidzi Zvekufambisa): Forecast: 0.4%, Yakapfuura: 0.5%.
     Maodha asina simba angaratidza kuderera kwekudyara kwebhizinesi, kupfavisa USD, nepo nhamba dzakasimba dzichiratidza kusimba.
6. Zvichemo zveUS zvisina Basa (13:30 UTC):
   • Zvikumbiro zvekutanga: Forecast: 220K, Yakapfuura: 213K.
   • Kuramba Kuchikumbira: Zvakapfuura: 1,908K.
     Kukwira kwezvichemo kwaizoratidza kupfava kwemusika wevashandi, kungangoita huremu paUSD, nepo zvichemo zvakaderera zvichiratidza kuenderera mberi kwesimba revashandi.
7. US Kushandisa Pachako & Core PCE Mitengo (15:00 UTC):
   • Kushandisa Pachako Amai (Oct): Forecast: 0.4%, Yakapfuura: 0.5%.
   • Core PCE MoM (Oct): Forecast: 0.3%, Yakapfuura: 0.3%.
   • Core PCE YoY (Oct): Zvakapfuura: 2.7%.
     Core PCE ndiyo yakakosha inflation chiyero cheFed. Nhamba dzepamusoro-kupfuura-inotarisirwa dzaizotsigira USD nekusimbisa tarisiro yekukwira kwemwero, nepo nhamba dzisina kusimba dzinogona kudzipfavisa.
8. US Chicago PMI (14:45 UTC):
   • Forecast: 44.9, Previous: 41.6.
     Kuverenga pasi pe50 kunoratidza kuderera. Kuvandudza kwaizoratidza kudzoreredza mukugadzira basa, kutsigira USD.
9. US Pending Home Sales (MoM) (15:00 UTC):
   • Forecast: -2.1% Previous: 7.4%.
     Kudzikira kwekutengesa kwemba kungaratidza kudzikisira kudiwa kwedzimba, zvinogona kupfavisa USD.
10. US Crude Oil Inventories (15:30 UTC):
    • Previous: 0.545M.
      Kukwira kwezvinhu kwaizoratidza kushomeka kushoma, kumanikidza mitengo yemafuta, ukuwo kudonha kunotsigira mitengo.
11. US 7-Year Note Auction (18:00 UTC):
    • Previous Goho: 4.215%.
      Goho repamusoro raizoratidza tarisiro yakawedzera inflation kana kudiwa kwekudzoka kwakakwirira, kutsigira USD.
12. ECB's Lane Inotaura (18:00 UTC):
    Mashoko kubva kuECB Chief Economist Philip Lane anogona kupa ruzivo rwekukwira kwemitengo kweEurozone uye maonero emari, achipesvedzera EUR.

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Market Impact Analysis

• Data Yekuvaka yeAustralia:
  Mhedzisiro yakanaka yaizoratidza kusimba muchikamu chekuvaka cheAustralia, kutsigira AUD. Mashoko asina simba aizoratidza matambudziko ehupfumi, achiremera pamari.
• Sarudzo dzeRBNZ:
  Mutengo wekucheka waizoyera paNZD nekuratidza kurerutsa kwemari. Kubata nekutungamira kwehawkish kwaizotsigira NZD.
• US GDP & Durable Goods Orders:
  Kuderedza kukura kweGDP kana kuderera kwemirairo yezvinhu zvinogara kwaizoratidza kutonhora kwehupfumi, zvinogona kupfavisa USD. Kusimba munhamba idzi kwaizotsigira mari.
• Zvikumbiro Zvisina Basa zveUS & Core PCE Mitengo:
  Kukwira kwezvichemo kwaizoratidza kushaya simba kwemusika wevashandi, nepo huwandu hweCore PCE hwaizotsigira iyo USD nekukurudzira kuenderera mberi kwekukwira kwemitengo.
• Oiri Inventories & PMI Data:
  Kukwira kwemafuta emafuta kwaizomanikidza mitengo uye kuyera mari yezvekutengesa-yakabatana. Kuvandudza Chicago PMI yaizoratidza kupora kwekugadzira, kutsigira USD.

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Overall Impact

Volatility:
Yakakwira, inotungamirwa nesarudzo dzebhangi repakati (RBNZ), zvakakosha US zviratidzi zvehupfumi (GDP, zvinhu zvinogara kwenguva refu, zvichemo zvisina basa), uye data reinflation (Core PCE).

Impact Score: 8/10, ine masimba makuru kubva kuUS kukura uye inflation metrics, sarudzo dzeRBNZ dzemitemo, uye crude oil heventory inoshandura kuumba manzwiro pamisika.