Jeremy Oles

Rakabudiswa On: 25/12/2024
Goverana!
Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 26 Zvita 2024
By Rakabudiswa On: 25/12/2024
Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)mamirirokukoshaEventkushurudzirapashure
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pointsKuenderera mberi Nezvichemo Zvisina Basa----1,874K
13:30Extraterrestrial3 pointsPakutanga Kusarudzwa kweJobho223K220K
18:00Extraterrestrial2 points7-Yegore Note Auction----4.183%
21:30Extraterrestrial2 pointsAPI Weekly Crude Oil Stock-----4.700M
21:30Extraterrestrial2 pointsFed's Balance Sheet----6,889B
23:30🇯🇵2 pointsTokyo Core CPI (YoY) (Zvita)2.5%2.2%
23:50🇯🇵2 pointsKugadzirwa kwemaindasitiri (MoM) (Nov)-3.4%2.8%

Pfupiso yeZviitiko Zvinouya zvehupfumi musi waZvita 26, 2024

  1. US Labor Market Data (13:30 UTC):
    • Kuenderera mberi Nezvichemo Zvisina Basa: Zvakapfuura: 1,874K.
    • Zvichemo Zvekutanga Zvisina Basa: Forecast: 223K, Yakapfuura: 220K.
      Kugadzikana kwemusika wevashandi kunoratidza kusimba kwehupfumi. Zvichemo zvakaderera zvinotsigira USD, nepo zvichemo zvepamusoro zvichiratidza kupfava kwehupfumi, kurema pamari.
  2. US 7-Year Note Auction (18:00 UTC):
    • Previous Goho: 4.183%.
      Kuda kwakasimba kana goho repamusoro raizotsigira USD nekuratidzira kusatya muchikwereti cheUS kana kukwira kwemitengo. Kudiwa kusina simba kunogona kumanikidza mari.
  3. US API Weekly Crude Oil Stock (21:30 UTC):
    • Previous: -4.700M.
      Kudonhedza kwakakura-kupfuura-inotarisirwa kunoratidza kudiwa kwemafuta kwakasimba, kungangotsigira mitengo yemafuta uye mari yakabatana nemidziyo seCAD. Zvivakwa zvinogona kuisa kuderera kwemitengo yemafuta.
  4. US Fed's Balance Sheet (21:30 UTC):
    • Previous: 6,889b.
      Shanduko muhukuru hwepepa remari yeFed dzinogona kuratidza shanduko mugwara remari kana zviga zvemvura, zvichikanganisa USD zvisina kunanga.
  5. Japan Tokyo Core CPI (YoY) (23:30 UTC):
    • Forecast: 2.5%, Yakapfuura: 2.2%.
      Kukwira kwekukwira kwemitengo kunogona kutsigira JPY nekusimudza zvinotarisirwa zveramangwana reBoJ kugadzirisa mitemo. Kudzikama kana kuderera kweinflation kunogona kurema pamari.
  6. Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (23:50 UTC):
    • Forecast: -3.4%, Yakapfuura: 2.8%.
      Kuderera kwakanyanya mukugadzirwa kwaizoratidza kushomeka kwemabasa emaindasitiri, zvichigona kumanikidza JPY. Positive zvinoshamisa zvaizoratidza kusimba, kutsigira mari.

Market Impact Analysis

  • US Labor Data:
    • Positive Scenario: Zvichemo zvakaderera zvekushaya basa zvinoratidza musika wakasimba wevashandi, unotsigira USD.
    • Negative Scenario: Zvikumbiro zvepamusoro zvinoratidza kupfava kwehupfumi, zvingangoderedza USD.
  • Mafuta Inventories:
    Drawdowns yaizotsigira mitengo yemafuta uye mari yezvinhu (semuenzaniso, CAD). Zvivakwa zvaizomanikidza mitengo.
  • Japan Tokyo Core CPI & Industrial Production:
    • Positive Scenario: Yakakwira CPI kana kugadzirwa kwakasimba kwaizosimbisa iyo JPY nekusimudza tarisiro yekumisikidza mutemo.
    • Negative Scenario: Kuderera kwemari kana kugadzirwa kusina simba kunogona kuyera JPY.
  • US 7-Year Note Auction:
    Kudiwa kwakasimba kana kukwira kwegoho kwaizotsigira USD, nepo kudiwa kusina simba kungakonzera kuderera.

Overall Impact

Volatility: Zviri pakati nepakati kusvika pakakwirira, zvichipesvedzerwa nedata revashandi veUS, crude oil inventory, uye inflation yeJapan nenhamba dzekugadzira.

Impact Score: 7/10, ine madhiraivha akakosha ari ekuUS kushaya basa uye data yehupfumi yeJapan inopesvedzera USD neJPY mafambiro.