Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 25 Gumiguru 2024

Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)	mamiriro	kukosha	chiitiko	kushurudzira	pashure
07:00		2 pfungwa	ECB McCaul Inotaura	---	---
12:30		2 pfungwa	Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Sep)	-0.1%	0.5%
12:30		3 pfungwa	Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Sep)	-1.1%	0.0%
14:00		2 pfungwa	Michigan 1-Gore reInflation Tarisiro (Gumiguru)	2.9%	2.7%
14:00		2 pfungwa	Michigan 5-Gore reInflation Tarisiro (Gumiguru)	3.0%	3.1%
14:00		2 pfungwa	Michigan Consumer Tarisiro (Gumiguru)	72.9	72.9
14:00		2 pfungwa	Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Gumiguru)	68.9	70.1
14:30		2 pfungwa	Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3)	3.4%	3.4%
17:00		2 pfungwa	US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count	482	482
17:00		2 pfungwa	US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count	---	585
19:30		2 pfungwa	CFTC Crude Oil inofungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo	---	184.4K
19:30		2 pfungwa	CFTC Goridhe yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo	---	286.4K
19:30		2 pfungwa	CFTC Nasdaq 100 yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo	---	1.4K
19:30		2 pfungwa	CFTC S&P 500 yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo	---	28.1K
19:30		2 pfungwa	CFTC AUD yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo	---	19.3K
19:30		2 pfungwa	CFTC JPY yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo	---	34.1K
19:30		2 pfungwa	CFTC EUR yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo	---	17.1K

Pfupiso yeZviitiko Zvehupfumi Zvinouya muna Gumiguru 25, 2024

1. ECB McCaul Inotaura (07:00 UTC):
   Mashoko kubva kuECB Supervisory Board Member Edouard Fernandez-Bollo McCaul anogona kupa nzwisiso mukutonga kwemari uye mutemo wemari muEurozone.
2. US Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Sep) (12:30 UTC):
   Inoteya shanduko mumaodha matsva ezvinhu zvisiri zvekufambisa zvinogara kwenguva refu. Forecast: -0.1%, Yakapfuura: 0.5%. Kudzikira kwaizoratidza kudzikira kudiwa kwezvinhu zvinogara kwenguva refu.
3. US Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Sep) (12:30 UTC):
   Inoyera shanduko yemwedzi nemwedzi mumaodha ezvinhu zvinogara. Forecast: -1.1%, Yakapfuura: 0.0%. Kuderera kunoratidza kudzikira kwekudyara kwebhizinesi uye kudiwa kwekugadzira.
4. Zvinotarisirwa kuUS Michigan Kwegore Rimwechete (Oct) (1:14 UTC):
   Forecast: 2.9%, Yakapfuura: 2.7%. Kukwira kuri kuita tarisiro yekukwira kwemitengo kungaratidza kuti vatengi vanotarisira kuti kumanikidzwa kwemitengo kurambe kuchienderera mberi.
5. Zvinotarisirwa kuUS Michigan Kwegore Rimwechete (Oct) (5:14 UTC):
   Forecast: 3.0%, Yakapfuura: 3.1%. Tarisiro dzakagadzikana dzenguva refu dzinoratidza kudzorwa kwekukwira kwemitengo.
6. Zvinotarisirwa muUS Michigan Consumer (Oct) (14:00 UTC):
   Forecast: 72.9, Yakapfuura: 72.9. Inotarisa maonero evatengi pamusoro pemamiriro ehupfumi. Nhamba yepamusoro inoratidza tariro huru pamusoro pekukura kwehupfumi mune ramangwana.
7. US Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Oct) (14:00 UTC):
   Forecast: 68.9, Yakapfuura: 70.1. Kudzikira kwemanzwiro kunogona kuratidza kuderera kwekusavimbika muhupfumi, izvo zvinogona kutungamira kuderera kwekushandisa kwevatengi.
8. Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) (14:30 UTC):
   Yechokwadi-yenguva fungidziro yeUS GDP kukura kweQ3. Forecast: 3.4%, Pamberi: 3.4%. Hapana shanduko inotarisirwa.
9. US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (17:00 UTC):
   Inoyera huwandu hweanoshanda mafuta rigs muUS. Previous: 482. Kuwedzera zviratidzo kukwira kwekugadzirwa kwemafuta.
10. US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count (17:00 UTC):
    Inoyera huwandu hwese hwemafuta anoshanda uye gasi rigs. Yakapfuura: 585. Shanduko dzinoratidza chiitiko muchikamu chesimba.
11. CFTC Speculative Net Positions (19:30 UTC):
    • Crude Oil Net Positions (Yapfuura: 184.4K): Zvinoratidza manzwiro emusika nezvemitengo yemafuta asina kuchena.
    • Gold Net Positions (Yapfuura: 286.4K): Inoteedzera zvinzvimbo zvekufungidzira mune ramangwana regoridhe.
    • Nasdaq 100 Net Positions (Yapfuura: 1.4K): Inoratidza kumira kwemusika muNasdaq 100 ramangwana.
    • S&P 500 Net Positions (Yapfuura: 28.1K): Inoyera kufungidzira manzwiro mune S&P 500 ramangwana.
    • AUD Net Positions (Yapfuura: 19.3K): Inoteedza zvinzvimbo zvekufungidzira mudhora reAustralia.
    • JPY Net Positions (Yapfuura: 34.1K): Inoyera fungidziro yekufungidzira muJapan yen.
    • EUR Net Positions (Yapfuura: 17.1K): Inoratidza manzwiro kune euro mune ramangwana misika.

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Market Impact Analysis

• ECB McCaul Kutaura:
  Matauriro kubva kuvakuru veECB anogona kukanganisa EUR zvichienderana nekuti toni ndeye hawkish kana dovish maererano nemari yemari.
• US Durable Goods Orders:
  Kudzikira kwemaodha ezvigadzirwa zvenguva refu kungaratidza kudzikira kudiwa uye kudyara kwebhizinesi, kungangoita huremu paUSD. Yakasimba-kupfuura-inotarisirwa data yaizotsigira USD.
• US Michigan Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Zvinotarisirwa:
  Kukwira kwemitengo kwakakwira kana kushaya simba kwevatengi kungaratidza kunetsekana kwevatengi pamusoro pekumanikidzwa kwemitengo, izvo zvinogona kunetesa USD sezvo zvichisimudza kutya kwekuderera kwehupfumi. Maonero akasimba kana tarisiro yakaderera yekukwira kwemitengo ingatsigira USD.
• US Baker Hughes Rig Inoverenga:
  Kukwira kwemafuta uye gasi rig kuverenga kungaratidza kuwedzera kugadzirwa, zvichigona kuisa kuderera kwemitengo yemafuta. Kudzikira kwaizoratidza kusimba kwekupa, izvo zvinogona kuwedzera mitengo.
• CFTC Kufungidzira Nzvimbo:
  Kuchinja munzvimbo yekufungidzira kunopa manzwisisiro mumanzwiro emusika pazvinhu zvakasiyana siyana, zvinosanganisira oiri isina kukora, goridhe, equity indices, uye mari huru seEUR, JPY, uye AUD.

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Overall Impact

Volatility:
Zvine mwero, zvine mukana wekufamba kwemusika unotungamirwa neUS dura rezvinhu data, manzwiro evatengi, uye tarisiro yekukwira kwemitengo. Kufungidzira chinzvimbo uye oiri rig kuverenga data kuchabatsirawo mukusagadzikana, kunyanya muzvigadzirwa uye misika yemari.

Impact Score: 6/10, semirairo yezvinhu zvinogara kwenguva refu, manzwiro evatengi, uye hurukuro dzeECB dzichagadzira tarisiro yemusika yenguva pfupi yekukura, inflation, uye sarudzo dzemari.