Jeremy Oles

Rakabudiswa On: 23/12/2024
Goverana!
Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 24 Zvita 2024
By Rakabudiswa On: 23/12/2024
Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)mamirirokukoshaEventkushurudzirapashure
00:30🇦🇺2 pointsRBA Meeting Maminitsi--------
05:00🇯🇵2 pointsBoJ Core CPI (YoY)1.5%1.5%
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pointsCore Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Nov)0.3%0.1%
13:30Extraterrestrial3 pointsDurable Goods Orders (MoM) (Nov)-0.3%0.2%
15:00Extraterrestrial3 pointsKutengeswa Kwedzimba Kutsva (Nov)666K610K
15:00Extraterrestrial2 pointsKutengeswa Kwedzimba Kutsva (MoM) (Nov)-----17.3%
18:00Extraterrestrial2 points5-Yegore Note Auction----4.197%
18:00Extraterrestrial2 pointsAtlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4)--------
21:30Extraterrestrial2 pointsAPI Weekly Crude Oil Stock-----4.700M

Pfupiso yeZviitiko Zvinouya zvehupfumi musi waZvita 24, 2024

  1. Australia RBA Meeting Miniti (00:30 UTC):
    • Maonero kubva kuReserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) musangano uchangoburwa unogona kupa ruzivo pamusoro pegwaro remari remangwana. Matoni eHawkish aizotsigira iyo AUD, nepo dovish tsinhiro yaigona kuyera mari.
  2. Japan BoJ Core CPI (YoY) (05:00 UTC):
    • Forecast: 1.5%, Previous: 1.5%.
      Kugadzikana mukukwira kwemitengo kunoenderana neiyo BoJ yazvino mutemo. Kuverenga kwepamusoro kunogona kuratidza kukwira kwemitengo, kutsigira JPY. Kuderera kwemitengo yakaderera kunogona kuderedza zvinotarisirwa pakugadzirisa mitemo, zvichienderana nemari.
  3. US Durable Goods Orders (13:30 UTC):
    • Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Nov): Forecast: 0.3%, Yakapfuura: 0.1%.
    • Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Nov): Forecast: -0.3%, Yakapfuura: 0.2%.
      Durable goods data inopa ruzivo mukudyara kwebhizinesi. Nhamba dzakasimba-kupfuura-inotarisirwa dzaizotsigira USD nekuratidza kusimba kwehupfumi. Mashoko asina simba anogona kuyera mari.
  4. US Housing Data (15:00 UTC):
    • Kutengeswa Kwedzimba Kutsva (Nov): Forecast: 666K, Yakapfuura: 610K.
    • Kutengeswa Kwedzimba Kutsva (MoM) (Nov): Zvakapfuura: -17.3%.
      Kuwedzera kwekutengesa kweimba kutsva kunoratidza kudiwa kwedzimba kwakasimba, kutsigira USD. Kuderera kwekutengesa kunogona kuratidza kudzikisira kuvimba kwevatengi kana nyaya dzekugona.
  5. US 5-Year Note Auction (18:00 UTC):
    • Previous Goho: 4.197%.
      Goho repamusoro rinoratidza kukwira kwemitengo inotarisirwa kana kuwedzera kudiwa kwekudzoka, izvo zvingatsigira USD. Kudiwa kusina simba kunogona kuremedza mari.
  6. US API Weekly Crude Oil Stock (21:30 UTC):
    • Previous: -4.700M.
      Kudonhedza kwakakura-kupfuura-inotarisirwa kunoratidza kudiwa kwakasimba kwemafuta asina kuchena, anogona kutsigira mitengo yemafuta uye mari yakabatana nemidziyo seCAD. Zvivakwa zvinogona kumanikidza mitengo.

Market Impact Analysis

  • Australia RBA Maminitsi:
    Inzwi re hawkish rinogona kutsigira iyo AUD nekupa zano remangwana kukwira. Dovish tsananguro inogona kuremedza mari.
  • Japan BoJ Core CPI:
    Inflation yakagadzikana inotsigira mamiriro eiyo BoJ, ine shoma JPY kufamba inotarisirwa. Kushamisika kumativi ose kwaizotyaira JPY saizvozvo.
  • US Durable Goods & Housing Data:
    • Positive Scenario: Zvinhu zvakasimba zvinogara kwenguva refu kana huwandu hwedzimba hunoratidza kusimba kwekudyara kwebhizinesi uye kudiwa kwevatengi, zvichitsigira USD.
    • Negative Scenario: Mashoko asina simba angaratidza kudzikiswa kwehupfumi, huremu hweUSD.
  • Crude Oil Inventories:
    Drawdowns yaizosimudza mitengo yemafuta, ichitsigira mari yakabatana nezvinhu. Zvivakwa zvinogona kumanikidza mitengo yemafuta uye mari yakabatana.

Overall Impact

Volatility: Zvine mwero, zvinotyairwa neUS zvinhu zvinogara kwenguva refu uye data redzimba, padivi pezvingangoitika zvinokatyamadza muzvigadzirwa zveoiri kana chirevo chebhanga guru.

Impact Score: 7/10, ine madhiraivha akakosha ari US zviratidzo zvehupfumi uye zvinogona kuchinja mumanzwiro kubva kuRBA kana BoJ tsinhiro.