Jeremy Oles

Rakabudiswa On: 21/11/2024
Goverana!
Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 22 Mbudzi 2024
By Rakabudiswa On: 21/11/2024
Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)mamirirokukoshachiitikokushurudzirapashure
00:30🇯🇵2 pfungwakana Jibun Bank Japan Services PMI (Nov)---49.7
08:30🇪🇺2 pfungwaMutungamiri weECB Lagarde Vanotaura------
08:40🇪🇺2 pfungwaECB's De Guindos Inotaura------
09:00🇪🇺2 pfungwaHCOB Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Nov)46.046.0
09:00🇪🇺2 pfungwaHCOB Eurozone Composite PMI (Nov)---50.0
09:00🇪🇺2 pfungwaHCOB Eurozone Services PMI (Nov)51.651.6
11:15🇪🇺2 pfungwaECB Supervisory Board Member Tuominen Anotaura------
14:45Extraterrestrial3 pfungwaS&P Global US Manufacturing PMI (Nov)---48.5
14:45Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaS&P Global Composite PMI (Nov)---54.1
14:45Extraterrestrial3 pfungwaS&P Global Services PMI (Nov)---55.0
15:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaMichigan 1-Gore Inflation Zvinotarisirwa (Nov)2.6%2.7%
15:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaMichigan 5-Gore Inflation Zvinotarisirwa (Nov)3.1%3.0%
15:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaMichigan Consumer Tarisiro (Nov)78.574.1
15:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaMichigan Consumer Sentiment (Nov)73.070.5
15:45🇪🇺2 pfungwaECB's Schnabel Inotaura  ------
18:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaUS Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count---478
18:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaUS Baker Hughes Total Rig Count---584
20:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaCFTC Crude Oil inofungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo---186.9K
20:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaCFTC Goridhe yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo---236.5K
20:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaCFTC Nasdaq 100 yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo---16.4K
20:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaCFTC S&P 500 yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo---25.0K
20:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaCFTC AUD yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo---29.8K
20:30🇯🇵2 pfungwaCFTC JPY yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo----64.9K
20:30🇪🇺2 pfungwaCFTC EUR yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo----7.4K
23:15Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaNhengo yeFOMC Bowman Inotaura------

Pfupiso yeZviitiko Zvehupfumi Zvinouya muna Mbudzi 22, 2024

  1. Japan Services PMI (Nov) (00:30 UTC):
    • kana Jibun Bank Japan Services PMI: Zvakapfuura: 49.7.
      Kuverenga pazasi makumi mashanu kunoratidza chibvumirano muchikamu chebasa, icho chinorema paJPY. Kudzoka pamusoro pe50 kwaizoratidza kuwedzera, kutsigira mari.
  2. ECB Hurukuro (Lagarde, De Guindos, Tuominen, Schnabel) (08:30–15:45 UTC):
    Mhinduro kubva kuvakuru veECB, kusanganisira Mutungamiri Christine Lagarde, Mutevedzeri weMutungamiri Luis de Guindos, Supervisory Board Member Anneli Tuominen, uye Executive Board Member Isabel Schnabel, vanogona kupa ruzivo mukukwira kwemitengo, mutemo wemari, kana kukura kwehupfumi. Tsanangudzo yeHawkish yaizotsigira EUR, ukuwo matauriro edovish anogona kuinetesa.
  3. Eurozone PMI Data (Nov) (09:00 UTC):
    • HCOB Kugadzira PMI: Forecast: 46.0, Zvakapfuura: 46.0.
    • HCOB Inoumbwa PMI: Zvakapfuura: 50.0.
    • HCOB Services PMI: Forecast: 51.6, Zvakapfuura: 51.6.
      PMI yekugadzira iri pasi pe50 inoratidza chibvumirano, nepo composite uye masevhisi kuverenga kwePMI pamusoro pe50 kunoratidza kuwedzera. Yakasimba-kupfuura-inotarisirwa data yaizotsigira EUR, nepo isina kusimba data inogona kuremerwa pairi.
  4. US S&P Global PMI Data (Nov) (14:45 UTC):
    • Kugadzira PMI: Zvakapfuura: 48.5.
    • Composite PMI: Zvakapfuura: 54.1.
    • Services PMI: Zvakapfuura: 55.0.
      PMI kuverenga pazasi 50 chiratidzo chibvumirano, nepo iwo ari pamusoro makumi mashanu anoratidza kuwedzera. Huwandu hwePMI hwakasimba hwaizotsigira USD, nepo data isina kusimba inogona kudzikisira manzwiro.
  5. Zvinotarisirwa kuUS Michigan Inflation & Consumer Sentiment (Nov) (15:00 UTC):
    • 1-Gore Rinotarisirwa Kuwedzera Kwemari: Forecast: 2.6%, Yakapfuura: 2.7%.
    • 5-Gore Rinotarisirwa Kuwedzera Kwemari: Forecast: 3.1%, Yakapfuura: 3.0%.
    • Zvinotarisirwa nevatengi: Forecast: 78.5, Zvakapfuura: 74.1.
    • Consumer Sentiment: Forecast: 73.0, Zvakapfuura: 70.5.
      Manzwiro akavandudzwa uye tarisiro yakagadzikana yekukwira kwemitengo yaizotsigira USD nekuratidza chivimbo chevatengi uye kugadzikana kwemutengo. Kuderera kunogona kuremedza mari.
  6. US Baker Hughes Rig Counts (18:00 UTC):
    • Oil Rig Count: Zvakapfuura: 478.
    • Total Rig Count: Zvakapfuura: 584.
      Shanduko muhuwandu hwema rig hunoratidza chiitiko chekugadzira mafuta. Huwandu huri kukwira hunoratidza kuwedzera kwekupa, izvo zvinogona kurema pamitengo yemafuta, ukuwo kuderera kunoratidza kusimba kwekupa.
  7. CFTC Speculative Net Positions (20:30 UTC):
    • Inoteedzera fungidziro yekufungidzira mumafuta asina kuchena, goridhe, equities, uye mari huru.
      Shanduko mukumisikidza dzinopa manzwisisiro mumanzwiro emusika uye kudiwa masimba, zvichipesvedzera mitengo yeasset.
  8. Nhengo yeFOMC Bowman Anotaura (23:15 UTC):
    Mashoko kubva kuFederal Reserve Gavhuna Michelle Bowman anogona kupa humwe hutsananguro pamaonero eFed's inflation uye mamiriro emitemo. Maonero eHawkish aizotsigira iyo USD, nepo matauriro akashata angaremerwa pazviri.

Market Impact Analysis

  • Japan Services PMI:
    Kuverenga pazasi makumi mashanu chiratidzo chibvumirano, chinogona kupfavisa iyo JPY. Kudzokera kunharaunda yekuwedzera kungaratidza kusimba kwehupfumi, kutsigira mari.
  • Eurozone PMI Data & ECB Hurukuro:
    Yakasimba PMI nhamba kana hawkish tsinhiro kubva kuvakuru veECB yaizosimbisa tarisiro yekusimbisa mutemo, kutsigira EUR. Dhata dzisina kusimba kana kutaura kwakashata kunogona kuyera EUR.
  • US PMI & Consumer Sentiment:
    Yakasimba PMI data uye yakagadziridzwa manzwiro evatengi aizotsigira iyo USD nekuisa chiratidzo chesimba rehupfumi. Huwandu husina kusimba kana manzwiro ari kudzikira angaratidza kutonhora kwehupfumi, zvinogona kupfavisa mari.
  • Baker Hughes Rig Inoverenga:
    Kukwira kwemarigi kunoratidza kuwanda kwemari, izvo zvinogona kumanikidza mitengo yemafuta uye kukanganisa mari yakabatana nemidziyo. Kuderera kunoratidza kusimbaradza, kutsigira mitengo yemafuta.
  • CFTC Kufungidzira Nzvimbo:
    Shanduko muzvinzvimbo zvemambure zvinopa manzwisisiro mumanzwiro emusika uye mafambiro emitengo yeramangwana pane zvinhu zvikuru, equities, uye mari.

Overall Impact

Volatility:
Zvine mwero kusvika kumusoro, inotungamirwa nePMI inoburitswa kubva kuEurozone neUS, ECB uye FOMC tsananguro, uye manzwiro ekuita. Misika yemagetsi ichave nehanya neBaker Hughes data.

Impact Score: 7/10, ine data yePMI uye hurukuro dzebhangi repakati dzichiumba tarisiro yekukura uye mutemo wemari, uye chinzvimbo chekufungidzira chinoratidza manzwiro emusika wakafara.