Jeremy Oles

Rakabudiswa On: 20/11/2024
Goverana!
Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 21 Mbudzi 2024
By Rakabudiswa On: 20/11/2024
Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)mamirirokukoshachiitikokushurudzirapashure
08:00🇦🇺2 pfungwaRBA Inobatsira Gov Bullock Speaks------
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaKuenderera mberi Nezvichemo Zvisina Basa---1,873K
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaPakutanga Kusarudzwa kweJobho220K217K
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaPhiladelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov)6.310.3
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaPhilly Fed Basa (Nov)----2.2
15:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaKutengeswa Kwepamba Kuripo (MoM) (Oct)----1.0%
15:00Extraterrestrial3 pfungwaKutengeswa Kwepamba Kuripo (Oct)3.94M3.84M
15:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaUS Leading Index (MoM) (Gumiguru)-0.3%-0.5%
15:30🇪🇺2 pfungwaECB's Elderson Anotaura------
15:30🇪🇺2 pfungwaECB's Lane Inotaura------
18:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwa10-Makore TIPS Auction---1.592%
21:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaFed's Balance Sheet---6,967B
21:40Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaFed Mutevedzeri weSachigaro weSupervision Barr Anotaura------
23:30🇯🇵2 pfungwaNational Core CPI (YoY) (Gumiguru)2.2%2.4%

Pfupiso yeZviitiko Zvehupfumi Zvinouya muna Mbudzi 21, 2024

  1. RBA Mubatsiri Gavhuna Bullock Anotaura (08:00 UTC):
    Mashoko kubva kuRBA Mubatsiri Gavhuna Michele Bullock anogona kupa ruzivo muReserve Bank yeAustralia mamiriro ezvematongerwo enyika uye mamiriro ehupfumi, anogona kukanganisa iyo AUD.
  2. Zvichemo zveUS zvisina Basa (13:30 UTC):
  • Kuenderera mberi Nezvichemo Zvisina Basa: Zvakapfuura: 1,873K.
  • Zvichemo Zvekutanga Zvisina Basa: Forecast: 220K, Yakapfuura: 217K.
    Kukwira kwezvichemo kunogona kuratidza kupfava kwemusika wevashandi, kungangoita huremu paUSD, nepo kuderera-kupfuura-kunotarisirwa kungaratidza kusimba kwemusika wevashandi, kutsigira USD.
  1. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index & Employment (Nov) (13:30 UTC):
  • Manufacturing Index: Forecast: 6.3, Zvakapfuura: 10.3.
  • Employment Index: Zvakapfuura: -2.2.
    Kuderera kwehuwandu hwekugadzira kana huwandu hwemabasa husina kunaka hunogona kuratidza kunonoka kuita muchikamu chekugadzira, izvo zvinogona kupfavisa USD.
  1. Kutengeswa Kwepamba KweUS Kuripo (MoM & Oct) (15:00 UTC):
  • Amai Chinja: Zvakapfuura: -1.0%.
  • Sales Volume: Forecast: 3.94M, Pamberi: 3.84M.
    Musika wedzimba wakasimba waizotsigira USD, ukuwo kuderera kwekutengesa kwaizoratidza kudzikira kudiwa kwevatengi, zvingangorema pamari.
  1. US Leading Index (MoM) (Oct) (15:00 UTC):
    Forecast: -0.3%, Yakapfuura: -0.5%. Kuramba kuchidzikira kunoratidza kudzikira kwehupfumi, zvinogona kudzikisira manzwiro eUSD.
  2. ECB Hurukuro (Elderson & Lane) (15:30 UTC):
    Mashoko kubva kuvakuru veECB anogona kupa ruzivo mukukwira kwemitengo uye kukura zvinotarisirwa, zvichipesvedzera EUR. Tsanangudzo yeHawkish yaizotsigira EUR, nepo toni dzedovish dzinogona kuinetesa.
  3. US 10-Makore TIPS Auction (18:00 UTC):
    Auction ye10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities. Pamberi pegoho: 1.592%. Goho repamusoro chiratidzo chakawedzera tarisiro yekukwira kwemitengo kana kudiwa kwekudzoka kwepamusoro, zvinogona kutsigira USD.
  4. Fed's Balance Sheet (21:30 UTC):
    Weekly update paFederal Reserve's assets and zvikwereti. Shanduko dziri mubalance sheet dzinogona kupesvedzera manzwiro eUSD, kunyanya kana dzichiratidza shanduko mumaturusi emari.
  5. Fed Mutevedzeri Wasachigaro weSupervision Barr Anotaura (21:40 UTC):
    Matauriro kubva kuMutevedzeri waSachigaro Michael Barr anogona kupa ruzivo mukugadzikana kwemari uye matambudziko ekutonga, achipesvedzera manzwiro emusika.
  6. Japan National Core CPI (YoY) (Oct) (23:30 UTC):
    Forecast: 2.2%, Yakapfuura: 2.4%. Kuverenga kwakaderera-kupfuura-kwaitarisirwa kungaratidza kurerutsa inflation, zvinogona kurema paJPY, nepo nhamba dzakasimba dzaizotsigira mari.

Market Impact Analysis

  • RBA Kutaura:
    Tsanangudzo yeHawkish kubva kuBullock yaizotsigira iyo AUD, nepo kutaura kwedovish kana kunetseka pamusoro pekukura kungaremera pamari.
  • US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed Manufacturing Index:
    Zvichemo zvepamusoro kana kuti indekisi isina kusimba yePhilly Fed yaizoratidza musika wevashandi uye chikamu chekugadzira kupfava, kuchirema paUSD. Data yakasimba yaizotsigira USD nekusimbisa kusimba kwehupfumi.
  • US Housing Data:
    Kuwedzera kuripo kwekutengesa kwemba kwaizoratidza simba mumusika wedzimba, kutsigira USD. Kudzikira kungaratidza kudzikira kudiwa kwevatengi, zvichigona kupfavisa mari.
  • ECB Hurukuro:
    Matoni eHawkish kubva kuElderson neLane aizotsigira EUR, kunyanya kana nyaya dzekukwira kwemitengo dzichiramba dzakakwira. Mashoko eDovish anogona kuremedza EUR.
  • Japan National Core CPI:
    Kukwira-pamusoro-kupfuura-kunotarisirwa kuchatsigira JPY nekupa pfungwa yokuti Bhanga reJapan rinogona kufunga nezvekugadzirisa mitemo. Kuderera kwemari kunogona kuderedza JPY nekusimbisa tarisiro yemari yakawanda.

Overall Impact

Volatility:
Zvine mwero, zvine tarisiro yezvichemo zvekushaya basa kweUS, basa rekugadzira, uye data redzimba, pamwe netsanangudzo yeECB uye nhamba dzekuJapan dzekukwira kwemitengo.

Impact Score: 6/10, nekuda kwekusanganiswa kwevashandi, dzimba, inflation, uye ruzivo rwebhangi repakati izvo zvinozopesvedzera manzwiro emusika uye zvinotarisirwa zvegwaro remari muhupfumi hukuru.