Jeremy Oles

Rakabudiswa On: 19/12/2024
Goverana!
Yakasiyana-siyana cryptocurrencies ine zuva rezviitiko zvehupfumi.
By Rakabudiswa On: 19/12/2024
Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)mamirirokukoshaEventkushurudzirapashure
01:00🇨🇳2 pointsChina Chikwereti Prime Rate 5Y (Zvita)
3.60%3.60%
01:15🇨🇳2 points
PBoC Chikwereti Prime Rate
3.10%3.10%
12:30Extraterrestrial2 points
Nhengo yeFOMC Daly Inotaura 
 
--------
13:30Extraterrestrial3 pointsCore PCE Price Index (MoM) (Nov)0.2%0.3%
13:30Extraterrestrial3 pointsCore PCE Mutengo Index (YoY) (Nov)2.9%2.8%
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pointsPCE Mutengo index (YoY) (Nov)2.5%2.3%
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pointsPCE mutengo index (MoM) (Nov)0.2%0.2%
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pointsKushandisa Pachako (MoM) (Nov)0.5%0.4%
15:00Extraterrestrial2 pointsMichigan 1-Gore reInflation Zvinotarisirwa (Zvita)2.9%2.6%
15:00Extraterrestrial2 pointsMichigan 5-Gore reInflation Zvinotarisirwa (Zvita)3.1%3.2%
15:00Extraterrestrial2 pointsMichigan Consumer Tarisiro (Zvita)71.676.9
15:00Extraterrestrial2 pointsMichigan Consumer Sentiment (Zvita)74.071.8
15:30Extraterrestrial2 pointsAtlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4)3.2%3.2%
18:00Extraterrestrial2 pointsUS Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count--------
18:00Extraterrestrial2 pointsUS Baker Hughes Total Rig Count--------
20:30Extraterrestrial2 pointsCFTC Crude Oil inofungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo----190.1K
20:30Extraterrestrial2 pointsCFTC Goridhe yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo----275.6K
20:30Extraterrestrial2 pointsCFTC Nasdaq 100 yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo----35.6K
20:30Extraterrestrial2 pointsCFTC S&P 500 yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo-----83.3K
20:30🇦🇺2 pointsCFTC AUD yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo----8.5K
20:30🇯🇵2 pointsCFTC JPY yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo----25.8K
20:30🇪🇺2 pointsCFTC EUR yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo-----75.6K

Pfupiso yeZviitiko Zvinouya zvehupfumi musi waZvita 20, 2024

  1. China Loan Prime Rates (01:00–01:15 UTC):
    • 5-Year Chikwereti Prime Rate (Zvita): Forecast: 3.60%, Yakapfuura: 3.60%.
    • 1-Yegore Chikwereti Prime Rate: Forecast: 3.10%, Yakapfuura: 3.10%.
      Hapana shanduko inotarisirwa. Kuchekwa kwaizoratidza kurerutsa mutemo wemari, uchiyera CNY, nepo kugadzikana kana kuwedzera kusingatarisirwe kwaizotsigira mari.
  2. US Core PCE uye Inflation Data (13:30 UTC):
    • Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Nov): Forecast: 0.2%, Yakapfuura: 0.3%.
    • Core PCE Mutengo Index (YoY) (Nov): Forecast: 2.9%, Yakapfuura: 2.8%.
    • PCE Mutengo Index (YoY) (Nov): Forecast: 2.5%, Yakapfuura: 2.3%.
    • Kushandisa Pachako (MoM) (Nov): Forecast: 0.5%, Yakapfuura: 0.4%.
      Aya ndiwo akakosha ekukwira kwemitengo uye zviratidzo zvekushandisa. Kuverenga kwepamusoro-kupfuura-kunotarisirwa kwaizotsigira USD, sezvo vachiratidzira kuenderera mberi kwekuwedzera kwemari. Kuverengera kwakaderera kunogona kurema pamari.
  3. US Michigan Consumer Sentiment uye Inflation Zvinotarisirwa (15:00 UTC):
    • Zvinotarisirwa Kwegore Rimwechete (Zvita): Forecast: 2.9%, Yakapfuura: 2.6%.
    • Zvinotarisirwa Kwegore Rimwechete (Zvita): Forecast: 3.1%, Yakapfuura: 3.2%.
    • Consumer Sentiment (Zvita): Forecast: 74.0, Zvakapfuura: 71.8.
      Kuvandudza manzwiro uye kugadzikana tarisiro yekukwira kwemitengo kwaizotsigira USD. Maonero asina kusimba angasimudza kushushikana pamusoro pekugadzirisa kushandiswa kwevatengi.
  4. US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Counts (18:00 UTC):
    Inoteedzera midziyo yemafuta inoshanda. Kukwira kwekuverenga kunoratidza kuwanda kwekupa, kuchimanikidza mitengo yemafuta. Kuderera kunoratidza kusimba kwekupa, kutsigira mitengo yemafuta uye mari yakabatana nemidziyo.
  5. CFTC Speculative Net Positions (20:30 UTC):
    Inotarisa manzwiro mumisika mikuru, kusanganisira mafuta asina kuchena, goridhe, equity indices, uye mari. Shanduko mukumisikidza inopa ruzivo mune zvinotarisirwa nemusika.

Market Impact Analysis

  • China Chikwereti Prime Rates:
    Kugadzikana kwaizotsigira CNY, zvichiratidza chivimbo mukudzoreredza hupfumi. Kutemwa kwekushamisika kwaizoremera mari uye manzwiro enjodzi yepasi rose.
  • US Inflation & Kushandisa Data:
    • Positive Scenario: Yakakwirira-kupfuura-inotarisirwa Core PCE kana kushandisa mari yako pachako kungaratidza kusimba kwekukwira kwemitengo, kutsigira USD.
    • Negative Scenario: Kuderera kwemari kana kushandisa mari kunogona kuyera paUSD uye tarisiro yehasha yekuwedzera kusimba kweFed.
  • Michigan Sentiment & Inflation Zvinotarisirwa:
    Kuverenga kwepamusoro-soro kwaizotsigira USD nekuratidza tarisiro yevatengi. Kudzikira kwaizopa kuchenjerera uye kungangoyera pamari.
  • Oil Rig Counts:
    Kudhirowa mukuverenga rig kunotsigira mitengo yemafuta, kubatsira CAD uye dzimwe mari dzakabatanidzwa nezvinhu. Kukwira kwemitengo kungamanikidza mitengo.
  • CFTC Kufungidzira Nzvimbo:
    Kuchinja kwechinzvimbo kunogona kuratidza kushanduka kwemusika muoiri, goridhe, equities, uye yakakosha mari, inokanganisa kushanduka kwenguva pfupi.

Overall Impact

Volatility: Zvine mwero kusvika kumusoro, zvine tarisiro kuUS Core PCE, manzwiro evatengi, uye data rine chekuita nemafuta.

Impact Score: 8/10, inotungamirwa neinflation data inoumba USD kasi uye data data inopesvedzera mari-yakabatana mari.