Jeremy Oles

Rakabudiswa On: 01/09/2025
Goverana!
By Rakabudiswa On: 01/09/2025
Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)mamirirokukoshaEventForecastpashure
01:30🇦🇺2 pointsAkaunti Yazvino (Q2)-15.9B-14.7B
03:35🇯🇵2 points10-Yegore JGB Auction----1.462%
09:00🇪🇺2 pointsCore CPI (YoY) (Aug)2.2%2.3%
09:00🇪🇺2 pointsCPI (MoM) (Aug)----0.0%
09:00🇪🇺3 pointsCPI (YoY) (Aug)2.0%2.0%
11:30🇪🇺2 pointsECB's Elderson Anotaura --------
13:45Extraterrestrial3 pointsS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug)53.349.8
14:00Extraterrestrial2 pointsKushandisa Pakuvaka (MoM) (Chikunguru)-0.1%-0.4%
14:00Extraterrestrial2 pointsISM Manufacturing Employment (Aug)----43.4
14:00Extraterrestrial3 pointsISM Manufacturing PMI (Aug)48.948.0
14:00Extraterrestrial3 pointsISM Manufacturing Mitengo (Aug)65.164.8
17:00Extraterrestrial2 pointsAtlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3)3.5%3.5%

Pfupiso yeKuuya Economic Zviitiko pa September 2, 2025

Asia - Australia & Japan

Australia – Current Account (Q2) – 01:30 UTC

  • Forecast: -15.9B (Prev.: -14.7B)
  • Impact: Kushomeka kwakakura kunoratidza kushomeka kwekutengeserana kuita, kungangoita huremu paAUD, kunyanya kana mitengo yezvinhu ikaramba ichimanikidzwa.

Japan – 10-Year JGB Auction – 03:35 UTC

  • Prev. Goho: 1.462%
  • Impact: Kudiwa kweauction kuchaumba goho reJGB. Kudiwa kwakasimba kunoita kuti goho rive rakaderera uye rinotsigira JPY; kudiwa kusina simba kunogona kusundira goho rakakwirira, richideredza JPY.

Europe - Inflation & ECB Commentary

Eurozone CPI (Aug) - 09:00 UTC

  • Core CPI YoY: 2.2% (Prev.: 2.3%)
  • Musoro we CPI YoY: 2.0% (Prev.: 2.0%)
  • CPI MoM: Flat inotarisirwa (Prev.: 0.0%)
  • Impact: Inflation inobata yakatsiga / yakapfava zvishoma inoratidza kuti mutemo weECB unogona kugara wakangwarira. Kuderera kunoshamisa kunogona kuderedza EUR; kukwira kwemitengo kwakasimba-kupfuura-inotarisirwa kunogona kukuchidzira tarisiro dzehawkish.

ECB's Elderson Anotaura – 11:30 UTC

  • Impact: Chakanyanya kutariswa pachimiro chake maererano nekuramba kuri kuita inflation uye kudzikiswa kwemari. Hawkish toni inotsigira EUR, dovish toni inomanikidza iyo.

United States - Kugadzira & Kukura Outlook

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug) – 13:45 UTC

  • Forecast: 53.3 (Prev.: 49.8)
  • Impact: Kudzoreredza kwakapinza mukuwedzera kunoratidza indasitiri kudzokororwa, yakanaka yeUSD uye equities.

Kushandisa Kuvaka (MoM, Jul) - 14:00 UTC

  • Forecast: -0.1% (Prev.: -0.4%)
  • Impact: Kuenderera mberi kuderera mukuvaka kungave kwakaipa pakukura kweUS, kunyanya zvikamu zvine chekuita nedzimba.

ISM Manufacturing PMI & Mitengo (Aug) - 14:00 UTC

  • PMI Forecast: 48.9 (Prev.: 48.0)
  • Mitengo Yekufanotaura: 65.1 (Prev.: 64.8)
  • Impact: Kudzoreredza zvine mwero PMI kuchiri kusaina chibvumirano, nepo mitengo yakakwira inoratidza inflation pressure. Musanganiswa uyu unogona kuomesera Fed mutemo-kukura kuneta, asi mutengo unoramba wakakwira.

Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) - 17:00 UTC

  • Forecast: 3.5% (zvakafanana)
  • Impact: Yakasimba yekutevera fungidziro inosimbisa kusimba mukukura kweUS, inotsigira USD uye goho.

Market Impact Analysis

  • Asia: AUD inogona kunge yakamanikidzwa nekuwedzera kushomeka kweakaundi yazvino, nepo JGB auction inogona kushandura yen manzwiro zvichienderana nekudiwa.
  • Europe: Eurozone CPI ndiyo mutyairi mukuru—flat inflation inochengeta EUR iri pasi pekumanikidzwa kunze kwekunge ECB tsinhiro yachinja hawkish.
  • US: PMI kuverenga kunokosha. Kudzokororwa kwakasimba (S&P 53.3, ISM padhuze ne49) padivi pemitengo yakakwira inogona simbisa USD uye simudza goho, nepo data isina kusimba yaizomutsiridza kutya kwekuderera uye kufarirwa kwemitengo.

Yese Impact Score: 8/10

  • Sei: US kugadzira data uye Eurozone inflation inotonga, ine mukana we fambisa USD, EUR, uye equity misika zvakanyanya. Yakasimba PMI + yakasimba inflation data inogona kutenderedza manzwiro kune "yepamusoro-kwe-refu" Fed uye ECB mitemo.