Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 18 Zvita 2024

Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)	mamiriro	kukosha	Event	kushurudzira	pashure
09:00		2 points	ECB's Lane Inotaura	----	----
10:00		2 points	Core CPI (YoY) (Nov)	2.7%	2.7%
10:00		2 points	CPI (MoM) (Nov)	-0.3%	0.3%
10:00		3 points	CPI (YoY) (Nov)	2.3%	2.0%
13:30		2 points	Mvumo yekuvaka (Nov)	1.430M	1.419M
13:30		2 points	Akaunti Yazvino (Q3)	-286.0B	-266.8B
13:30		2 points	Dzimba Dzinotanga (Nov)	1.350M	1.311M
13:30		2 points	Dzimba Dzinotanga (MoM) (Nov)	----	-3.1%
15:30		2 points	Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4)	3.1%	3.1%
15:30		3 points	Mafuta Asingawaniki Inventories	-1.600M	-1.425M
15:30		2 points	Cushing Crude Oil Inventories	----	-1.298M
19:00		2 points	Mubereko Wekutarisira - 1st Yr (Q4)	----	3.4%
19:00		2 points	Mberero Yekutarisira - 2nd Yr (Q4)	----	2.9%
19:00		2 points	Mberero Yekutarisira - 3rd Yr (Q2)	----	2.9%
19:00		2 points	Mubereko Wekutarisira - Yazvino (Q4)	----	4.4%
19:00		2 points	Mubereko Wekutarisira - Yakareba (Q4)	----	2.9%
19:00		3 points	FOMC Economic Projections	----	----
19:00		3 points	Chirevo cheFOMC	----	----
19:00		3 points	Fed Chidhara Chechiyero Sarudzo	4.50%	4.75%
19:30		3 points	FOMC Press Musangano	----	----
21:45		2 points	GDP (QQ) (Q3)	-0.2%	-0.2%

Pfupiso yeZviitiko Zvinouya zvehupfumi musi waZvita 18, 2024

1. Eurozone Inflation Data & ECB Commentary (09:00–10:00 UTC):
   • ECB's Lane Inotaura (09:00): Maonero ekukwira kwemitengo uye maonero emari anogona kukanganisa manzwiro eEUR.
   • Core CPI (YoY) (Nov): Forecast: 2.7%, Yakapfuura: 2.7%.
   • CPI (YoY) (Nov): Forecast: 2.3%, Yakapfuura: 2.0%.
   • CPI (MoM) (Nov): Forecast: -0.3%, Yakapfuura: 0.3%.
     Kukwira kweinflation (CPI) kwaizotsigira EUR nekusimbisa chimiro chekuchenjerera cheECB pakuderedzwa kwemitengo. Lower inflation inogona kumanikidza EUR.
2. US Economic Data (13:30–15:30 UTC):
   • Zvibvumirano zvekuvaka (Nov): Forecast: 1.430M, Pamberi: 1.419M.
   • Dzimba Dzinotanga (Nov): Forecast: 1.350M, Pamberi: 1.311M.
   • Akaunti Yazvino (Q3): Forecast: -286.0B, Previous: -266.8B.
     Kusimba mudzimba uye zvibvumirano zvaizoratidza musika wakatsiga wedzimba, uchitsigira USD. Kuwedzera kuderera kweakaundi yazvino kunogona kurema zvishoma paUSD.
3. US Crude Oil Inventories (15:30 UTC):
   • Forecast: -1.600M, Yakapfuura: -1.425M.
   • Cushing Crude Oil Inventories: Zvakapfuura: -1.298M.
     Kudonhedza kwakakura-kupfuura-inotarisirwa kunoratidza kudiwa kwakasimba, kutsigira mitengo yemafuta uye mari yakabatana-zvekutengesa (semuenzaniso, CAD). Zvivakwa zvaizomanikidza mitengo yemafuta.
4. US Federal Reserve Key Zviitiko (19:00–19:30 UTC):
   • Fed Chisarudzo Chekufarira: Forecast: 4.50%, Yakapfuura: 4.75%.
   • FOMC Economic Projections: Inosanganisira kukura kweGDP, inflation, uye chiyero chekufungidzira.
   • Chirevo cheFOMC & Musangano weVatori venhau (19:30): Mhinduro kubva kuFed Chair Powell ichave yakakosha kune USD maonero.
     Mamiriro ehawkish, kana masaini emitengo yepamusoro-ye-refu, angatsigira USD. Matauriro eDovish kana mazano ekudzikiswa kwemitengo muna 2024 anogona kunetesa mari.
5. New Zealand GDP (QQ) (Q3) (21:45 UTC):
   • Forecast: -0.2%, Yakapfuura: -0.2%.
     Kukura kwakashata kungaratidza kudzikira kwehunyanzvi, kurema paNZD. Zvirinani-kupfuura-inotarisirwa data inogona kupa imwe rutsigiro kumari.

---

Market Impact Analysis

• Eurozone CPI & ECB Commentary:
  Kukwirisa inflation kwaizosimbisa ECB hawkish, kutsigira EUR. Kuverenga kwakaderera kunogona kuyera mari.
• US Housing Data & Current Account:
  Yakasimba data yedzimba inotsigira iyo USD, ichiratidza kusimba mune real estate sector. Kuwedzera kushaikwa kweakaunti kwazvino kunogona kukanganisa kuwana zvishoma.
• US FOMC Zviitiko:
  • Hawkish Scenario: Yakakwira mubereko fungidziro kana kungwarira Fed toni yaizosimbisa iyo USD.
  • Dovish Scenario: Zviratidzo zvekudzikiswa kwemitengo kana kushomeka kwehupfumi kungaderedza USD uye kusimudza midziyo yengozi.
• Crude Oil Inventories:
  Kudhirowa kwaizowedzera mitengo yemafuta, kutsigira CAD nedzimwe mari dzekutengesa. Zvivakwa zvaizomanikidza mafuta-akabatanidzwa assets.
• New Zealand GDP:
  Negative GDP kukura kwaizorema paNZD. Kuwedzera kunoshamisa kwaizopa imwe tsigiro.

---

Overall Impact

Volatility: Yakakwira, inosundwa neakakomba US FOMC sarudzo, Eurozone inflation data, uye New Zealand GDP.

Impact Score: 9/10, nekutarisa pane US Fed Rate Sarudzo, FOMC fungidziro, uye Eurozone inflation semadhiraivha akakosha eUSD, EUR, uye NZD mafambiro.