Jeremy Oles

Rakabudiswa On: 16/10/2024
Goverana!
Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 17 Gumiguru 2024
By Rakabudiswa On: 16/10/2024
Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)mamirirokukoshachiitikokushurudzirapashure
00:30🇦🇺2 pfungwaShanduko Yebasa (Sep)25.2K47.5K
00:30🇦🇺2 pfungwaShanduko Yebasa Rakazara (Sep)----3.1K
00:30🇦🇺2 pfungwaMwero Wokushaya Basa (Sep)4.2%4.2%
08:15🇪🇺2 pfungwaECB McCaul Inotaura------
09:00🇪🇺2 pfungwaCore CPI (YoY) (Sep)2.7%2.8%
09:00🇪🇺2 pfungwaCPI (MoM) (Sep)-0.1%0.1%
09:00🇪🇺3 pfungwaCPI (YoY) (Sep)1.8%2.2%
09:00🇪🇺2 pfungwaTrade Balance (Aug)17.8B21.2B
09:45🇪🇺2 pfungwaECB McCaul Inotaura ------
10:00🇪🇺2 pfungwaEU Leaders Summit------
12:15🇪🇺3 pfungwaDeposit Facility Rate (Oct)3.25%3.50%
12:15🇪🇺2 pfungwaECB Marginal Lending Facility---3.90%
12:15🇪🇺2 pfungwaECB Monetary Policy Statement------
12:15🇪🇺3 pfungwaECB Mubereko Wemutero Sarudzo (Oct)3.40%3.65%
12:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaKuenderera mberi Nezvichemo Zvisina Basa1,870K1,861K
12:30Extraterrestrial3 pfungwaCore Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep)0.1%0.1%
12:30Extraterrestrial3 pfungwaPakutanga Kusarudzwa kweJobho241K258K
12:30Extraterrestrial3 pfungwaPhiladelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Gumiguru)4.21.7
12:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaPhilly Fed Employment (Oct)---10.7
12:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaRetail Control (MoM) (Sep)---0.3%
12:30Extraterrestrial3 pfungwaRetail Sales (MoM) (Sep)0.3%0.1%
12:45🇪🇺3 pfungwaECB Press Musangano------
13:15Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaKugadzirwa kwemaindasitiri (YoY) (Sep)---0.04%
13:15Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaKugadzirwa kwemaindasitiri (MoM) (Sep)-0.1%0.8%
14:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaBhizinesi Inventories (MoM) (Aug)0.3%0.4%
14:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaRetail Inventories Ex Auto (Aug)0.4%0.5%
14:15🇪🇺2 pfungwaMutungamiri weECB Lagarde Vanotaura------
15:00Extraterrestrial3 pfungwaMafuta Asingawaniki Inventories1.800M5.810M
15:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaCushing Crude Oil Inventories---1.247M
16:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaAtlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3)3.2%3.2%
20:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaTIC Net Yenguva Yakareba Kuitwa (Aug)---135.4B
20:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaFed's Balance Sheet---7,047B
23:30🇯🇵2 pfungwaNational Core CPI (YoY) (Sep)2.3%2.8%
23:30🇯🇵2 pfungwaNational CPI (MoM)---0.5%

Pfupiso yeZviitiko Zvehupfumi Zvinouya muna Gumiguru 17, 2024

  1. Australia Shanduko Yebasa (Sep) (00:30 UTC):
    Inoyera shanduko yehuwandu hwevanhu vanoshanda. Forecast: 25.2K, Pamberi: 47.5K. Nhamba yepamusoro inoratidza musika wevashandi wakasimba.
  2. Australia Full Employment Shanduko (Sep) (00:30 UTC):
    Inoteedzera shanduko yebasa renguva yakazara. Zvakapfuura: -3.1K. Kukura kwakanaka kungaratidza kuvandudza kwemusika wevashandi.
  3. Mwero weUrovha hweAustralia (Sep) (00:30 UTC):
    Inoyera chikamu chevanhu vasingashandi mumabasa. Forecast: 4.2%, Yakapfuura: 4.2%. Mwero wakatsiga unoratidza kugadzikana kwemusika wevashandi.
  4. ECB McCaul Anotaura (08:15 & 09:45 UTC):
    Mashoko kubva kuECB Supervisory Board Member Edouard Fernandez-Bollo McCaul anogona kupa ruzivo mukugadzikana kwemari uye mutemo wemari muEurozone.
  5. Eurozone Core CPI (YoY) (Sep) (09:00 UTC):
    Inoyera kukwira kwemitengo, kusasanganisa chikafu nesimba. Forecast: 2.7%, Yakapfuura: 2.8%. Lower core inflation yaizoderedza kumanikidza kuECB kukwidza mitengo.
  6. Eurozone CPI (MoM) (Sep) (09:00 UTC):
    Kuchinja kwemwedzi nemwedzi mumitengo yevatengi. Forecast: -0.1%, Yakapfuura: 0.1%. Kuverenga kwakashata kunoratidza kuti kumanikidzwa kwemitengo kuri kudzikira.
  7. Eurozone CPI (YoY) (Sep) (09:00 UTC):
    Gore negore shanduko yemitengo yevatengi. Forecast: 1.8%, Yakapfuura: 2.2%. Kudzikira kwemusoro weinflation kunogona kuratidza kurerutswa kwekumanikidzwa kweinflation.
  8. Eurozone Trade Balance (Aug) (09:00 UTC):
    Musiyano pakati pezvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika uye kunze kwenyika. Forecast: €17.8B, Yakapfuura: €21.2B. Kuwedzera kuri kuita kwekuwedzera kunogona kuratidza kusashanda zvakanaka kwekutengesa kunze kwenyika.
  9. EU Leaders Summit (10:00 UTC):
    Musangano wevatungamiri veEuropean Union wekuzeya nyaya dzezvematongerwo enyika nehupfumi. Zviziviso zvakakosha zvepolicy zvinogona kukanganisa EUR.
  10. ECB Chisarudzo Chemubereko (Oct) (12:15 UTC):
    Zvinotarisirwa kuderedza mitengo. Forecast: 3.40%, Previous: 3.65%. Kuderedzwa kwemitengo kwaizoratidza kurerutsa mutemo wemari, zvinogona kukanganisa EUR.
  11. US Kuenderera mberi Nekukumbira Kusina Basa (12:30 UTC):
    Forecast: 1,870K, Yakapfuura: 1,861K. Kukwira kwezvichemo kunoratidza kuti musika wevashandi uri kuderera.
  12. Zvichemo zveU.S zvekutanga zvisina basa (12:30 UTC):
    Forecast: 241K, Yakapfuura: 258K. Zvichemo zvakaderera zvaizoratidza kusimba kwemusika wevashandi.
  13. US Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep) (12:30 UTC):
    Inoteedzera kutengesa kwezvitoro tisingabatanidzi mota. Forecast: 0.1%, Yakapfuura: 0.1%. Kutengeswa kwakagadzikana kunoratidza kudiwa kwevatengi kwakatsiga.
  14. US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Gumiguru) (12:30 UTC):
    Inoyera chiitiko chekugadzira munharaunda yePhiladelphia. Forecast: 4.2, Yakapfuura: 1.7. Nhamba dzepamusoro dzinoratidza kukura muchikamu.
  15. US Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep) (12:30 UTC):
    Inoyera kutengesa kwese kwekutengesa. Forecast: 0.3%, Yakapfuura: 0.1%. Kukura kunoratidza kushandisa kwakasimba kwevatengi.
  16. ECB Press Conference (12:45 UTC):
    Mutungamiri weECB Christine Lagarde achagadzirisa mutemo wemari zvichitevera danho rekuita, iro rinogona kupa mamwe manzwisisiro mumaonero ehupfumi hweECB.
  17. US Industrial Production (MoM) (Sep) (13:15 UTC):
    Inoyera shanduko mukubuda kwemaindasitiri. Forecast: -0.1%, Yakapfuura: 0.8%. Kudzikira kunoratidza kuderera kwemabasa emaindasitiri.
  18. US Business Inventories (MoM) (Aug) (14:00 UTC):
    Inoteedzera kukosha kwezvinhu zvakachengetwa nevagadziri, vatengesi vezvitoro, uye vatengesi. Forecast: 0.3%, Yakapfuura: 0.4%.
  19. US Crude Oil Inventories (15:00 UTC):
    Inoyera shanduko yevhiki nevhiki mumatura emafuta asina kuchena. Forecast: 1.800M, Pamberi: 5.810M. Zvinhu zvakaderera zvinogona kutsigira mitengo yemafuta.
  20. Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) (16:00 UTC):
    Yechokwadi-yenguva fungidziro yeUS GDP kukura. Zvakapfuura: 3.2%. Hapana shanduko inotarisirwa.
  21. Japan National Core CPI (YoY) (Sep) (23:30 UTC):
    Inoyera inflation tisingasanganisire chikafu. Forecast: 2.3%, Yakapfuura: 2.8%. Kudzikira kwepakati inflation kungaratidza kudzikisira mitengo.

Market Impact Analysis

  • Australia Basa & Kusashanda Data:
    Kukura kwebasa kwakasimba kwaizotsigira AUD, nepo hurovha hwepamusoro kana shanduko yebasa isina kusimba-kupfuura-inotarisirwa inogona kurema pamari.
  • ECB Mubereko Mutengo Sarudzo & CPI Dhata:
    Kudzikiswa kwemitengo, pamwe nekurerutsa inflation, kunogona kunetesa EUR, sezvo zvichiratidza shanduko kuenda kune imwe hurongwa hwemari yekugara. Kutaura kweHawkish panguva yemusangano wevatori venhau kwaizopa rutsigiro kuEUR.
  • Zvikumbiro Zvisina Basa zveUS & Retail Sales:
    Kuderera-kupfuura-kunotarisirwa kusina mabasa uye kutengesa kwakasimba kwekutengesa kwaizosimbisa USD, zvichiratidza kusimba kwehupfumi. Data isina kusimba inogona kupfavisa USD nekuratidza kudzikira kwehupfumi.
  • US Crude Oil Inventories:
    Kudonhedza kukuru mumatura kungaratidza kudiwa kwakasimba, kutsigira mitengo yemafuta, nepo chivakwa chingaratidza kushomeka kuri kuita, kuchiisa kuderera kwemitengo.
  • Japan CPI Data:
    Kuderera kwemari muJapan kunoderedza kudzvinyirira kuBoJ kuti isimbise mutemo, iyo inogona kuyera paJPY.

Overall Impact

Volatility:
Yakakwira, inotungamirwa nesarudzo huru dzebhangi repakati (ECB), musika wevashandi weUS uye data rekutengesa rekutengesa, uye nhamba dzekuJapan dzekukwira kwemitengo. Data remusika wemafuta uye mishumo yekugadzira maindasitiri inogona kubatsirawo mukushanduka kwemusika.

Impact Score: 8/10, paine kutarisisa kwakakosha padanho remubereko reECB, zvichemo zvekushaya basa kweUS uye kutengesa kwezvitoro, uye data reJapan rekukwira kwemitengo rinoumba manzwiro ehupfumi hwenyika.