Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 15 Mbudzi 2024

Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)	mamiriro	kukosha	chiitiko	kushurudzira	pashure
02:00		2 pfungwa	Yakagadziriswa Asset Investment (YoY) (Gumiguru)	3.5%	3.4%
02:00		2 pfungwa	Kugadzirwa kwemaindasitiri (YoY) (Gumiguru)	5.5%	5.4%
02:00		2 pfungwa	Chinese Industrial Production YTD (YoY) (Gumiguru)	---	5.8%
02:00		2 pfungwa	Chiyero chekushaikwa kwemabasa kweChinese (Gumiguru)	5.1%	5.1%
02:00		2 pfungwa	NBS Press Musangano	---	---
04:30		2 pfungwa	Kugadzirwa kwemaindasitiri (MoM) (Sep)	1.4%	1.4%
10:00		2 pfungwa	EU Economic Forecasts	---	---
10:00		2 pfungwa	Eurogroup Misangano	---	---
11:30		2 pfungwa	ECB McCaul Inotaura	---	---
13:30		3 pfungwa	Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Oct)	0.3%	0.5%
13:30		2 pfungwa	Export Price Index (MoM) (Oct)	-0.1%	-0.7%
13:30		2 pfungwa	Indekisi Yemitengo Yekupinza (MoM) (Gumiguru)	-0.1%	-0.4%
13:30		2 pfungwa	NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Nov)	-0.30	-11.90
13:30		2 pfungwa	Retail Control (MoM) (Oct)	---	0.7%
13:30		3 pfungwa	Retail Sales (MoM) (Oct)	0.3%	0.4%
14:15		2 pfungwa	Kugadzirwa kwemaindasitiri (MoM) (Gumiguru)	-0.3%	-0.3%
14:15		2 pfungwa	Kugadzirwa kwemaindasitiri (YoY) (Gumiguru)	---	-0.64%
15:00		2 pfungwa	Bhizinesi Inventories (MoM) (Sep)	0.2%	0.3%
15:00		2 pfungwa	Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Sep)	0.1%	0.1%
15:00		2 pfungwa	ECB's Lane Inotaura	---	---
18:00		2 pfungwa	Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4)	2.5%	2.5%
18:00		2 pfungwa	US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count	---	479
18:00		2 pfungwa	US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count	---	585
18:15		2 pfungwa	Nhengo yeFOMC Williams Anotaura	---	---
20:30		2 pfungwa	CFTC Crude Oil inofungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo	---	196.1K
20:30		2 pfungwa	CFTC Goridhe yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo	---	255.3K
20:30		2 pfungwa	CFTC Nasdaq 100 yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo	---	16.1K
20:30		2 pfungwa	CFTC S&P 500 yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo	---	113.4K
20:30		2 pfungwa	CFTC AUD yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo	---	31.0K
20:30		2 pfungwa	CFTC JPY yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo	---	-44.2K
20:30		2 pfungwa	CFTC EUR yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo	---	-21.7K

Pfupiso yeZviitiko Zvehupfumi Zvinouya muna Mbudzi 15, 2024

1. China Economic Data (02:00 UTC):

• Yakagadziriswa Asset Investment (YoY) (Gumiguru): Forecast: 3.5%, Yakapfuura: 3.4%.
• Kugadzirwa Kwemaindasitiri (YoY) (Gumiguru): Forecast: 5.5%, Yakapfuura: 5.4%.
• Industrial Production YTD (YoY) (Gumiguru): Zvakapfuura: 5.8%.
• Mwero Wokushaya Basa (Oct): Forecast: 5.1%, Yakapfuura: 5.1%.
  Yepamusoro yakasimwa mari yekudyara uye kugadzirwa kwemaindasitiri kwaizoratidza kukura kwehupfumi, kutsigira CNY. Huwandu hwekushaikwa kwemabasa hwakakoshawo pakuongorora kugadzikana kwehupfumi hweChina.

1. Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Sep) (04:30 UTC):
   Forecast: 1.4%, Yakapfuura: 1.4%. Kukura kwezviratidzo zvekugadzira kwakawedzera chiitiko cheindasitiri, kutsigira JPY.
2. EU Economic Forecasts & Eurogroup Misangano (10:00 UTC):
   Kufembera kwehupfumi hweEU uye misangano pakati pevatungamiriri veEurogroup zvinogona kukanganisa manzwiro eEUR zvichienderana nekukura, kufungidzira kwekukwira kwemitengo, kana kuvandudzwa kwemutemo wemari.
3. ECB McCaul Inotaura (11:30 UTC):
   Mhinduro kubva kuECB Supervisory Board Member Edouard Fernandez-Bollo McCaul anogona kukanganisa EUR zvichienderana nemaonero ake pakugadzikana kwemari uye inflation.
4. US Retail & Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Oct) (13:30 UTC):

• Core Retail Sales: Forecast: 0.3%, Yakapfuura: 0.5%.
• Kutengesa Zvitoro: Forecast: 0.3%, Yakapfuura: 0.4%.
  Kukura kwekutengesa kwekutengesa kwakasimba kunotsigira USD nekuratidza kudiwa kwevatengi, nepo huwandu husina kusimba hunogona kuratidza kuderera kwehupfumi.

1. US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Nov) (13:30 UTC):
   Forecast: -0.30, Previous: -11.90. Chimiro chisina kunaka kana chakanaka chaizoratidza kuvandudzwa mukugadzira, kutsigira USD.
2. US Industrial Production (MoM & YoY) (Oct) (14:15 UTC):

• Amai: Forecast: -0.3%, Yakapfuura: -0.3%.
• YOY: Zvakapfuura: -0.64%.
  Kuderera kwaizoratidza kushomeka kwekugadzira, kungangoita huremu paUSD.

1. US Business & Retail Inventories (MoM) (15:00 UTC):

• Business Inventories (MoM): Forecast: 0.2%, Yakapfuura: 0.3%.
• Retail Inventories Ex Auto (MoM): Forecast: 0.1%, Yakapfuura: 0.1%.
  Kukwira kwezvinhu kunoratidza kushomeka kushoma, nepo yakagadzikana kana yakaderera manhamba aizotsigira USD nekuratidza kudiwa kwakasimba.

1. ECB's Lane Inotaura (15:00 UTC):
   Mashoko kubva kuECB Chief Economist Philip Lane pamusoro pehupfumi kana mutemo wemari anogona kukanganisa EUR.
2. Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4) (18:00 UTC):
   Forecast: 2.5%, Yakapfuura: 2.5%. Zvigadziriso zveiyi chaiyo-nguva GDP fungidziro inokanganisa USD inotarisirwa kutenderedza kusimba kwehupfumi hweUS.
3. US Baker Hughes Rig Counts (18:00 UTC):
   Inoteya basa rekuongorora mafuta negasi. Kukwira kwemitengo yemafuta kunoratidza kuwedzera kugadzirwa, kungangoita huremu pamitengo yemafuta.
4. CFTC Speculative Net Positions (20:30 UTC):
   Dhata pamusoro pekufungidzira chinzvimbo muzvinhu zvikuru, equities, uye mari zvinogona kukanganisa misika.

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Market Impact Analysis

• China Economic Data:
  Kugadzirwa kwemaindasitiri epamusoro uye kuisirwa mari kweasset kwaizoratidza kukura, kutsigira manzwiro enjodzi uye mari yakabatana nemidziyo. Data isina kusimba-kupfuura-inotarisirwa yaizoratidza kunonoka, zvinogona kudzikisira manzwiro emusika wepasi rose.
• Japan Industrial Production:
  Kukura kwakanaka kwekugadzirwa kwaizoratidza kusimba kwehupfumi, kutsigira JPY. Mashoko asina kusimba anogona kuratidza matambudziko ehupfumi, anorema pamari.
• EU Economic Forecasts & ECB Hurukuro:
  Kufembera kwakanaka uye kutaura kwehawkish kubva kuvakuru veECB kwaizotsigira EUR nekuratidza kusimba uye kusimba kunogona kuitika. Dovish kana kungwarira kutaura kunogona kuyera EUR.
• US Retail Sales & Industrial Production:
  Kutengesa kwakasimba kwekutengesa uye yakagadziridzwa data yekugadzira yaizotsigira iyo USD, ichiratidza kudiwa kusimba. Kudzikira mukugadzirwa kana kutengesa kungaratidza kutonhora kwehupfumi, kungangoita kupfavisa USD.
• US Baker Hughes Rig Counts & CFTC Kufungidzira Positions:
  Kukwira kwemitengo yemafuta kunogona kuremedza mitengo yemafuta nekuisa chiratidzo chepamusoro. Zvinzvimbo zvekufungidzira zvinopa manzwisisiro emusika manzwiro ezvigadzirwa, mari, uye indices.

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Overall Impact

Volatility:
Yakakwira, ine musika wakatarisana nedata rehupfumi kubva kuChina, Japan, uye US, pamwe nekuvandudzwa kubva kuvakuru veECB neEurogroup. Kutengeswa kwekutengesa kweUS, kugadzirwa kwemaindasitiri, uye fungidziro yekumisikidza kuchakanganisawo manzwiro enjodzi uye misika yemari.

Impact Score: 7/10, nekuda kwekuburitswa kwedata rekutengesa nemaindasitiri, fungidziro dzehupfumi, uye chirevo chebhangi repakati chinokanganisa tarisiro yekukura, inflation, uye mutemo wemari muhupfumi hukuru.