Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 14 Mbudzi 2024

Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)	mamiriro	kukosha	chiitiko	kushurudzira	pashure
00:30		2 pfungwa	Shanduko Yebasa (Oct)	25.2K	64.1K
00:30		2 pfungwa	Shanduko Yebasa Rakazara (Oct)	---	51.6K
00:30		2 pfungwa	Mwero Wokushaya Basa (Oct)	4.1%	4.1%
08:30		2 pfungwa	ECB's De Guindos Inotaura	---	---
10:00		2 pfungwa	IEA Monthly Report	---	---
10:00		2 pfungwa	GDP (YoY) (Q3)	0.9%	0.6%
10:00		2 pfungwa	GDP (QQ) (Q3)	0.4%	0.2%
10:00		2 pfungwa	Kugadzirwa kwemaindasitiri (MoM) (Sep)	-1.3%	1.8%
12:30		2 pfungwa	ECB Inoburitsa Account yeMonetary Policy Meeting	---	---
13:30		2 pfungwa	Kuenderera mberi Nezvichemo Zvisina Basa	1,880K	1,892K
13:30		2 pfungwa	Core PPI (MoM) (Gumiguru)	0.3%	0.2%
13:30		3 pfungwa	Pakutanga Kusarudzwa kweJobho	224K	221K
13:30		3 pfungwa	PPI (MoM) (Gumiguru)	0.2%	0.0%
16:00		3 pfungwa	Mafuta Asingawaniki Inventories	1.000M	2.149M
16:00		2 pfungwa	Cushing Crude Oil Inventories	---	0.522M
18:30		2 pfungwa	ECB's Schnabel Inotaura	---	---
19:00		2 pfungwa	Mutungamiri weECB Lagarde Vanotaura	---	---
20:00		3 pfungwa	Fed Chair Powell Anotaura	---	---
21:15		2 pfungwa	Nhengo yeFOMC Williams Anotaura	---	---
21:30		2 pfungwa	Fed's Balance Sheet	---	6,994B
21:30		2 pfungwa	Bhizinesi NZ PMI (Gumiguru)	---	46.9
23:50		2 pfungwa	GDP (YoY) (Q3)	---	2.9%
23:50		3 pfungwa	GDP (QQ) (Q3)	0.2%	0.7%
23:50		2 pfungwa	GDP Price Index (YoY) (Q3)	2.8%	3.1%

Pfupiso yeZviitiko Zvehupfumi Zvinouya muna Mbudzi 14, 2024

1. Australia Employment Data (Oct) (00:30 UTC):

• Kuchinja Kwebasa: Forecast: 25.2K, Yakapfuura: 64.1K.
• Kuchinja Kwebasa Kwakazara: Zvakapfuura: 51.6K.
• Mwero Wokushaya Basa: Forecast: 4.1%, Yakapfuura: 4.1%.
  Kukura kwebasa kwakasimba kwaizotsigira iyo AUD nekuisa chiratidzo chemusika wevashandi wakasimba, nepo data isina kusimba kana kukwira kwekushaikwa kwemabasa kunogona kurema pamari.

1. ECB's De Guindos Inotaura (08:30 UTC):
   Mashoko kubva kuECB Mutevedzeri weMutungamiri Luis de Guindos anogona kupa ruzivo rwemamiriro ehupfumi eEurozone uye mutemo wemari, ungangopesvedzera EUR.
2. IEA Monthly Report (10:00 UTC):
   Mushumo wepamwedzi weInternational Energy Agency unosanganisira zvigadziriso pamusoro pesimba repasi rose uye nekufanotaura kudiwa. Chirevo ichi chinogona kukanganisa mitengo yemafuta uye mari ine chekuita nesimba zvichienderana nechero gadziriso yekupa uye kudiwa zvinotarisirwa.
3. Eurozone GDP (Q3) (10:00 UTC):

• YOY: Forecast: 0.9%, Yakapfuura: 0.6%.
• QoQ: Forecast: 0.4%, Yakapfuura: 0.2%.
  Yakasimba-kupfuura-inotarisirwa kukura kweGDP kwaizotsigira EUR nekuratidza kusimba kwehupfumi, nepo data isina kusimba inogona kuyera pamari.

1. Eurozone Industrial Production (MoM) (Sep) (10:00 UTC):
   Forecast: -1.3%, Yakapfuura: 1.8%. Kudzikira kwaizoratidza kudzikira kwekuita kwemaindasitiri, zvinogona kunetesa EUR.
2. ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts (12:30 UTC):
   Maminitsi kubva kumusangano weECB uchangoburwa wepolicy anogona kupa nzwisiso mumaonero ebhanga pamusoro pekukwira kwemitengo nekukura kwehupfumi, zvichipesvedzera manzwiro eEUR.
3. Zvikumbiro Zvekushaya Basa zveUS & PPI (Oct) (13:30 UTC):

• Kuenderera mberi Nezvichemo Zvisina Basa: Forecast: 1,880K, Yakapfuura: 1,892K.
• Zvichemo Zvekutanga Zvisina Basa: Forecast: 224K, Yakapfuura: 221K.
• Core PPI (MoM): Forecast: 0.3%, Yakapfuura: 0.2%.
• PPI (MoM): Forecast: 0.2%, Yakapfuura: 0.0%.
  Kukwira kwezvichemo kunogona kuratidza kuderera kwemusika wevashandi, nepo kuwedzera kwePPI kuchiratidzira inflation, zvinogona kukanganisa mutemo weFed neUSD.

1. US Crude Oil Inventories (16:00 UTC):
   Forecast: 1.000M, Pamberi: 2.149M. Kuvakwa kwakakura-kupfuura-kunotarisirwa mumatura kwaizoratidza kushomeka kushoma, kurema pamitengo yemafuta, ukuwo kudhirowa kunoratidza kudiwa kwakasimba.
2. Matauriro eECB (Schnabel naLagarde) (18:30 na19:00 UTC):
   Mashoko kubva kuvakuru veECB anogona kukanganisa zvinotarisirwa kuEurozone mari yemutemo, zvichikanganisa EUR zvichienderana nemamiriro avo ekukwira kwemitengo uye kukura kwehupfumi.
3. Fed Chair Powell & Nenhengo yeFOMC Williams Speeches (20:00 & 21:15 UTC):
   Kutaura kwaPowell naWilliams kunogona kupa ruzivo rwakakomba mumaonero eFed pamusoro pekukwira kwemitengo uye mitengo yemubereko. Maonero eHawkish aizotsigira iyo USD, nepo toni dzedovish dzaigona kuyera pairi.
4. Japan GDP (Q3) (23:50 UTC):
   • YOY: Zvakapfuura: 2.9%.
   • QoQ: Forecast: 0.2%, Yakapfuura: 0.7%.
   • GDP Price Index (YoY): Forecast: 2.8%, Yakapfuura: 3.1%.
     Kukura kwepamusoro kwaizotsigira JPY nekuratidza kusimba kwehupfumi, nepo nhamba dzakaderera dzinogona kuratidza kudzikira, zvichigona kupfavisa mari.

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Market Impact Analysis

• Data yeAustralian Employment:
  Kukura kwemabasa kwakasimba kwaizotsigira iyo AUD nekuratidza kusimba kwemusika wevashandi. Kuderera kwebasa kana kushayikwa kwepamusoro kunogona kurema paAUD.
• Eurozone GDP & Industrial Production:
  Yakasimba GDP uye data yekugadzira yaizoratidza kusimba kweEurozone kwehupfumi, kutsigira EUR. Nhamba dzisina kusimba dzinogona kurema paEUR, kunyanya kana zvibvumirano zvemaindasitiri.
• US Mhosva Dzisina Basa & PPI:
  Zvichemo zvepamusoro zvekushaya mabasa zvingaratidza kupfava kwemusika wevashandi, zvichigona kuderedza kukwidzwa kweUSD. Kukwira kwePPI kwaizoratidza kuenderera mberi kwekukwira kwemitengo, kutsigira USD sezvo zvichigona kureva hukasha hweFed policy.
• ECB & Fed Hurukuro (Lagarde, Schnabel, Powell, Williams):
  Kutaura kweHawkish kubva kuECB nevakuru veFed vaizotsigira EUR neUSD zvakateerana nekusimbisa tarisiro dzakasimba dzemitemo, nepo kutaura kwakashata kunogona kudzikisira simba remari.
• Japan GDP:
  Yakasimba-kupfuura-inotarisirwa kukura kweGDP kwaizoratidza hupfumi huri kupora, kutsigira JPY. Kuderera kwekukura kwenhamba kwaizoratidza kuderera kwehupfumi, zvingangoderedza JPY.

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Overall Impact

Volatility:
Yakakwirira, ine yakakosha data kuburitswa kubva kuAustralia, Eurozone, uye US, pamwe nehurukuro dzakakosha kubva kuECB neFed vakuru vanozopesvedzera manzwiro ekukura kwehupfumi uye mutemo wemari.

Impact Score: 8/10, inotungamirwa nedata revashandi, kuburitswa kweGDP, PPI, uye kutungamira kwebhangi repakati, izvo zvinogadzira tarisiro yemusika yekukwira kwemitengo uye chiyero chemubereko muhupfumi hukuru.