Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 13 Mbudzi 2024

Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)	mamiriro	kukosha	chiitiko	kushurudzira	pashure
00:30		2 pfungwa	Wage Price Index (QQ) (Q3)	0.9%	0.8%
08:00		2 pfungwa	European Central Bank Non-Monetary Policy Meeting	---	---
13:30		2 pfungwa	Core CPI (YoY) (Gumiguru)	3.3%	3.3%
13:30		2 pfungwa	Core CPI (MoM) (Gumiguru)	0.3%	0.3%
13:30		2 pfungwa	CPI (MoM) (Gumiguru)	0.2%	0.2%
13:30		2 pfungwa	CPI (YoY) (Gumiguru)	2.6%	2.4%
13:30		2 pfungwa	FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks	---	---
14:30		2 pfungwa	Nhengo yeFOMC Williams Anotaura	---	---
17:00		2 pfungwa	EIA Yenguva Yenguva pfupi Energy Outlook	---	---
19:00		2 pfungwa	Federal Budget Balance (Gumiguru)	-226.4B	64.0B
21:30		2 pfungwa	API Weekly Crude Oil Stock	---	3.132M

Pfupiso yeZviitiko Zvehupfumi Zvinouya muna Mbudzi 13, 2024

1. Australia Wage Price Index (QoQ) (Q3) (00:30 UTC):
   Inoyera shanduko yekota muhoro yeAustralia, chiratidzo chekukwira kwemitengo. Forecast: 0.9%, Yakapfuura: 0.8%. Kukura kwemuhoro wepamusoro kwaizotsigira iyo AUD nekusaina yakasimba musika wevashandi mamiriro, zvingangopesvedzera mutemo weRBA.
2. ECB Non-Monetary Policy Meeting (08:00 UTC):
   Musangano wakanangana nenyaya dzisiri dzemari, iyo inogona kuramba ichipa ruzivo mumaonero eECB pazvinhu zvehupfumi nekutonga. Yakaganhurirwa yekukurumidza kukanganisa paEUR kunze kwekunge zvakakosha zvehupfumi zvakurukurwa.
3. US Core CPI & CPI (YoY & MoM) (Oct) (13:30 UTC):

• Core CPI (YoY): Forecast: 3.3%, Yakapfuura: 3.3%.
• Core CPI (MoM): Forecast: 0.3%, Yakapfuura: 0.3%.
• CPI (MoM): Forecast: 0.2%, Yakapfuura: 0.2%.
• CPI (YoY): Forecast: 2.6%, Yakapfuura: 2.4%.
  Kudzikama kana kukwira kweinflation nhamba kwaizotsigira USD nekuratidza kuenderera mberi kwemitengo, zvichigona kuwedzera mukana wekukwira kweFed kukwira. Kuderera kunogona kuratidza kurerutsa inflation, kuderedza kudzvanywa paFed.

1. Nhengo dzeFOMC Kashkari naWilliams Vanotaura (13:30 na14:30 UTC):
   Mashoko kubva kuna Neel Kashkari naJohn Williams anogona kupa humwe hutungamiri pamusoro pemaonero eFed ekukwira kwemitengo uye kukura kwehupfumi. Tsanangudzo yeHawkish yaizotsigira iyo USD, nepo toni dzedovish dzinogona kurema pairi.
2. EIA Yenguva Ipfupi Maonero Esimba (17:00 UTC):
   Mwedzi wega wega simba rekuona kubva kuUS Energy Information Administration, inotsanangura fungidziro yemusika wesimba, izvo zvinogona kukanganisa mitengo yemafuta uye mari-yakabatana nemari.
3. US Federal Budget Balance (Gumiguru) (19:00 UTC):
   Inoyera bhajeti yehurumende yemubatanidzwa yasara kana kushomeka. Forecast: -$226.4B, Pamberi: $64.0B. Kusakwana kwakakura kungaratidza kushandiswa kwepamusoro kwehurumende maererano nemari, inogona kukanganisa USD nekuwedzera kunetseka kwechikwereti.
4. API Weekly Crude Oil Stock (21:30 UTC):
   Inoteedzera shanduko yevhiki nevhiki muUS crude oil inventory. Zvakapfuura: 3.132M. Kudzikira kwezvinyorwa kwaizoratidza kudiwa kwakasimba, kungangotsigira mitengo yemafuta, nepo chivakwa chingaratidza kushomeka kushoma, kuchiisa kumanikidza pamitengo.

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Market Impact Analysis

• Australia Wage Price Index:
  Kuwedzera-kupfuura-kutarisirwa kukura kwemubairo kwaizotsigira iyo AUD nekuratidza inflation inflation mumusika wevashandi, izvo zvinogona kukurudzira kuwedzera RBA kusimba. Kukura kwemubairo wakaderera kungaratidza kuderera kwemitengo, kungangoita kurema paAUD.
• US CPI Data:
  Huwandu hweCPI hwakagadzikana kana huchikwira hwaizosimbisa inflation, kutsigira USD nekuwedzera mukana weiyo hawkish Fed stance. Data isina kusimba inflation yaizoderedza kudzvanywa paFed, zvichigona kupfavisa USD.
• FOMC Hurukuro (Kashkari & Williams):
  Matauriro eHawkish aizotsigira USD nekukurudzira kuwedzera Fed kusimba, nepo dovish tsinhiro inogona kuratidza kuchenjerera, zvinogona kuita kuti mari iite shoma.
• EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook & API Crude Oil Stock:
  Kufembera kwekuwedzerwa kwekupihwa kana kuwedzera kudiwa mumushumo weEIA kungatsigira mitengo yemafuta. Iyo API inventory data inokanganisawo mitengo yemafuta, ine yakakura-kupfuura-inotarisirwa kudonha inotsigira mitengo.
• US Federal Budget Balance:
  Kushomeka kukuru kunogona kurema paUSD nekusimudza kushushikana kwemari, nepo kushomeka kudiki kungaratidza kuvandudzwa kwemari, kutsigira mari.

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Overall Impact

Volatility:
Yakakwira, inosundwa neakakosha US inflation data (CPI), muhoro data kubva kuAustralia, uye FOMC hurukuro inozopesvedzera mari nemisika yezvinhu.

Impact Score: 7/10, ine CPI mushumo uye Fed tsinhiro inogona kuseta iyo toni yeUSD kutungamira, nepo simba data uye bhajeti zvigadziriso zvichakanganisawo manzwiro.