Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 13 Chikumi 2025

Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)	mamiriro	kukosha	Event	Forecast	pashure
04:30		2 points	Kugadzirwa kwemaindasitiri (MoM) (Kubvumbi)	-0.9%	0.2%
09:00		2 points	Kugadzirwa kwemaindasitiri (MoM) (Kubvumbi)	-1.6%	2.6%
09:00		2 points	Trade Balance (Kubvumbi)	18.2B	36.8B
14:00		2 points	Michigan 1-Gore reInflation Zvinotarisirwa (Chikumi)	----	6.6%
14:00		2 points	Michigan 5-Gore reInflation Zvinotarisirwa (Chikumi)	----	4.2%
14:00		2 points	Michigan Consumer Tarisiro (Chikumi)	----	47.9
14:00		2 points	Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Chikumi)	53.5	52.2
15:00		2 points	ECB's Elderson Anotaura	----	----
17:00		2 points	US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count	----	442
17:00		2 points	US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count	----	559
19:30		2 points	CFTC Crude Oil inofungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo	----	168.0K
19:30		2 points	CFTC Goridhe yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo	----	187.9K
19:30		2 points	CFTC Nasdaq 100 yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo	----	14.7K
19:30		2 points	CFTC S&P 500 yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo	----	-69.4K
19:30		2 points	CFTC AUD yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo	----	-63.2K
19:30		2 points	CFTC JPY yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo	----	151.1K
19:30		2 points	CFTC EUR yekufungidzira mambure zvinzvimbo	----	82.8K

Pfupiso yeZviitiko zveEconomic Zvinouya musi waChikumi 13, 2025

Japani

1. Industrial Production (MoM) (Apr) - 04:30 UTC

• Forecast: -0.9% | Previous: + 0.2%
• Market Impact:
  • Kuderera kwaizoratidza kushaya simba kwekugadzira basa, zvingangomanikidza JPY uye kusimudzira kushushikana pamusoro pekusimba kwehupfumi hweJapan.
  • Kuwedzera kunoshamisa kwaizoita tsigira JPY uye Japanese equities.

Eurozone

2. Industrial Production (MoM) (Apr) - 09:00 UTC

• Forecast: -1.6% | Previous: + 2.6%
• Market Impact:
  • Kudonha kwakapinza kwaizoratidza kushaya simba kuri kukura muchikamu cheindasitiri cheEurozone, zvichida kumanikidza EUR uye Eurozone stocks.
  • Zvirinani-kupfuura-zvinotarisirwa zvinogona kupa kwechinguva EUR rutsigiro.

3. Trade Balance (Kubvumbi) - 09:00 UTC

• Forecast: €18.2B | Previous: €36.8B
• Market Impact:
  • Kuwedzera kuderera kunogona kuratidza kushaya simba kwekunze kudiwa, iyo inogona kurema pa Euro.
  • Kuwedzera kwepamusoro kunogona zvishoma kuwedzera EUR chivimbo.

4. Elderson weECB Anotaura – 15:00 UTC

• Market Impact:
  • Chero mamwe matauriro pamusoro peinflation, kukura, kana maonero ezvematongerwo enyika anogona kukanganisa EUR yenguva pfupi nzira.

nyika dzakabatana

5. Yunivhesiti yeMichigan Preliminary Survey (Jun) - 14:00 UTC

• 1-Year Inflation Tarisiro (Yapfuura): 6.6%
• 5-Year Inflation Tarisiro (Yapfuura): 4.2%
• Zvinotarisirwa nevatengi (Zvapfuura): 47.9
• Consumer Sentiment (Forecast): 53.5 | Previous: 52.2
• Market Impact:
  • Chikamu chakakosha chekutarisira inflation yeUS. Kuwedzera kunogona kukonzera kuvandudzwa Fed mutemo kuchenjerera, kutyaira goho uye USD.
  • Kudonha tarisiro uye manzwiro epamusoro zvaizotsigira njodzi midziyo uye Fed rate inocheka tariro.

6. US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count - 17:00 UTC

• Previous Crude: 442 | Total: 559
• Market Impact:
  • Kuchinja kunokanganisa remangwana rekupa mafuta zvinotarisirwa.
  • Kudonha rig kuverenga kunowanzo tsigira mafuta emaori uye inflation-sensitive assets.

7. CFTC Speculative Net Positions (Various Assets) – 19:30 UTC

• Inosanganisira Crude Oiri, Goridhe, Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, AUD, JPY, EUR
• Market Impact:
  • Positioning shifts inoratidza investor manzwiro uye kukurumidza.
  • Kuchinja kukuru kunogona kutanga kururamisa kwemitengo kwenguva pfupi mumakirasi anoenderana asset.

Market Impact Analysis

• Focus ichava pakati Eurozone indasitiri kushaya simba uye US tarisiro yekukwira kwemitengo kubva kuongororo yeMichigan.
• CFTC yekumisikidza zvigadziriso inoratidza kuti vatengesi vakamira sei mushure mevhiki isina kugadzikana, ichipa nzwisiso yekugoneka. njodzi dzekupera kwevhiki gap.
• Oiri rig kuverenga uye kumira kunozokanganisawo misika yemagetsi uye manzwiro ekukwira kwemitengo.

Yese Impact Score: 7/10

Kiyi Yekutarisa:
Kunyangwe isiri data-inorema sepakutanga muvhiki, Michigan inflation tarisiro ichanyatsotariswa zviratidzo zve inflation inoenderera mberi izvo zvinogona kukanganisa mutemo weFed. Yakasanganiswa ne Eurozone indasitiri kushaya simba, zvinyorwa izvi zvinogona kutyaira pakati nepakati kusvika kune yakakwira volatility in EUR, USD, commodities, bond, uye equities zvichienderana nezvakashamisa.