Jeremy Oles

Rakabudiswa On: 11/12/2024
Goverana!
Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 12 Zvita 2024
By Rakabudiswa On: 11/12/2024
Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)mamirirokukoshachiitikokushurudzirapashure
00:30🇦🇺2 pfungwaShanduko Yebasa (Nov)26.0K15.9K
00:30🇦🇺2 pfungwaShanduko Yebasa Yakazara (Nov)---9.7K
00:30🇦🇺2 pfungwaMwero Wokushaya Basa (Nov)4.2%4.1%
09:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaIEA Monthly Report------
13:15🇪🇺2 pfungwaDeposit Facility Rate (Zvita)3.00%3.25%
13:15🇪🇺2 pfungwaECB Marginal Lending Facility---3.65%
13:15🇪🇺2 pfungwaECB Monetary Policy Statement------
13:15🇪🇺2 pfungwaECB Mubereko weChisarudzo (Zvita)3.15%3.40%
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaKuenderera mberi Nezvichemo Zvisina Basa1,880K1,871K
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaCore PPI (MoM) (Nov)0.2%0.3%
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaPakutanga Kusarudzwa kweJobho221K224K
13:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaPPI (MoM) (Nov)0.2%0.2%
13:45🇪🇺2 pfungwaECB Press Musangano------
15:15🇪🇺2 pfungwaMutungamiri weECB Lagarde Vanotaura------
18:00Extraterrestrial2 pfungwa30-Yegore Bond Auction---4.608%
21:30Extraterrestrial2 pfungwaFed's Balance Sheet---6,896B
21:30🇳🇿2 pfungwaBhizinesi NZ PMI (Nov)---45.8
23:50🇯🇵2 pfungwaTankan Yese Yakakura Indasitiri CAPEX (Q4)9.6%10.6%
23:50🇯🇵2 pfungwaTankan Big Manufacturing Outlook Index (Q4)---14
23:50🇯🇵2 pfungwaTankan Large Manufacturers Index (Q4)1313
23:50🇯🇵2 pfungwaTankan Hombe Vasiri Vagadziri Indekisi (Q4)3334

Pfupiso yeZviitiko Zvinouya zvehupfumi musi waZvita 12, 2024

  1. Australia Employment Data (Nov) (00:30 UTC):
    • Kuchinja Kwebasa: Forecast: 26.0K, Yakapfuura: 15.9K.
    • Kuchinja Kwebasa Kwakazara: Zvakapfuura: 9.7K.
    • Mwero Wokushaya Basa: Forecast: 4.2%, Yakapfuura: 4.1%.
      Kukura kwemabasa kwakasimba kana kusashanda kwakagadzikana kwaizoratidza musika wevashandi wakatsiga, uchitsigira AUD. Mashoko asina kusimba anogona kuyera mari nekuratidza matambudziko ehupfumi.
  2. IEA Monthly Report (09:00 UTC):
    Updates pamusoro pepasi rose simba rekupa uye maitiro ekudiwa. Maonero mukugadzirwa kana kufanofungidzira kwekuda anogona kukanganisa mitengo yemafuta uye mari yakabatana-yekutengesa seCAD neAUD.
  3. Eurozone ECB Mutengo Wemubereko Sarudzo & Zvigadziriso zvePolisi (13:15–13:45 UTC):
    • Deposit Facility Rate: Forecast: 3.00%, Yakapfuura: 3.25%.
    • Sarudzo yemubhadharo: Forecast: 3.15%, Yakapfuura: 3.40%.
    • ECB Press Conference (13:45) & Lagarde Speech (15:15):
      Sarudzo dzeHawkish kana kutaura kwaizotsigira EUR, zvichiratidza kuenderera mberi kwekunetseka kweinflation. Dovish mafambiro anogona kunetesa mari nekukurudzira kudzikiswa mukusimbisa.
  4. US Labor Market & Producer Inflation Data (13:30 UTC):
    • Zvichemo Zvekutanga Zvisina Basa: Forecast: 221K, Yakapfuura: 224K.
    • Kuenderera mberi Nezvichemo Zvisina Basa: Forecast: 1,880K, Yakapfuura: 1,871K.
    • Core PPI (MoM): Forecast: 0.2%, Yakapfuura: 0.3%.
    • PPI (MoM): Forecast: 0.2%, Yakapfuura: 0.2%.
      Yakagadzika kana kudzikira PPI yaizoratidza kurerutsa inflation, zvinogona kupfavisa USD. Musika wevashandi wakasimba waizosimbisa USD simba.
  5. US 30-Year Bond Auction (18:00 UTC):
    • Previous Goho: 4.608%.
      Kukwira kwegoho kwaizotsigira USD nekuratidza tarisiro yakakwira yekukwira kwemitengo kana kuwedzera kudiwa kwechikwereti chehurumende.
  6. New Zealand Business PMI (Nov) (21:30 UTC):
    • Previous: 45.8.
      PMI pazasi makumi mashanu inosaina chibvumirano muchikamu chekugadzira. Kumwe kuderera kwaizorema paNZD, nepo kuvandudzwa kwaizoratidza kupora.
  7. Japan Tankan Survey (Q4) (23:50 UTC):
    • Tankan Yese Yakakura Indasitiri CAPEX: Forecast: 9.6%, Yakapfuura: 10.6%.
    • Tankan Large Manufacturers Index: Forecast: 13, Zvakapfuura: 13.
    • Tankan Hombe Vasiri Vagadziri Indekisi: Forecast: 33, Zvakapfuura: 34.
      Inoratidza manzwiro ebhizinesi uye mari yekushandisa. Kuverenga kwakasimba kunotsigira JPY nekuratidza tariro, nepo mhedzisiro isina kusimba inogona kuremedza mari.

Market Impact Analysis

  • Australia Employment Data:
    Huwandu hwemabasa akasimba kana mwero wakagadzikana wekushaikwa kwemabasa ungatsigira AUD, zvichiratidza kusimba kwehupfumi. Data isina simba yaizorema pamari.
  • ECB Sarudzo & Lagarde Kutaura:
    Hawkish ECB mitemo kana rhetoric yaizotsigira EUR, ichiratidza kushushikana kwekukwira kwemitengo uye kusimba kwemutemo. Matauriro eDovish kana kuderedzwa kwemitengo kwaizoderedza EUR.
  • US Labor & Inflation Data:
    Zvichemo zvakaderera zvekushaya mabasa uye yakagadzikana PPI yaizosimbisa USD simba nekuratidza musika wakasimba wevashandi uye inflation inogoneka. Zvichemo zvepamusoro kana kuti zvishoma zvishoma zvePPI nhamba zvinogona kupfavisa USD.
  • Japan Tankan Survey:
    Maonero akasimba kana kukura kweCAPEX kwaizotsigira iyo JPY, ichiratidza kuvimba kwebhizinesi. Kuderera kungaratidza matambudziko ehupfumi, zvichiremera pamari.

Overall Impact

Volatility:
Yakakwira, ine sarudzo dzakakomba kubva kuECB, yakakosha yevashandi uye inflation data kubva kuUS, uye mafambiro ebasa muAustralia achityaira mafambiro muAUD, EUR, uye USD.

Impact Score: 8/10, inopesvedzerwa nesarudzo dzechiyero cheECB, data revashandi vekuUS uye inflation, uye manzwiro ekugadzira kubva kuJapan neNew Zealand.