Zviitiko zvehupfumi zviri kuuya 12 Nyamavhuvhu 2025

Nguva(GMT+0/UTC+0)	mamiriro	kukosha	Event	Forecast	pashure
01:30		2 points	NAB Business Confidence (Chikunguru)	----	5
04:30		3 points	RBA Mubereko weChisarudzo (Aug)	3.60%	3.85%
04:30		2 points	RBA Monetary Policy Statement	----	----
04:30		2 points	RBA Rate Chirevo	----	----
09:00		2 points	ZEW Economic Sentiment (Aug)	28.1	36.1
11:00		2 points	OPEC Mwedzi Chirevo	----	----
12:30		3 points	Core CPI (MoM) (Chikunguru)	0.3%	0.2%
12:30		2 points	Core CPI (YoY) (Chikunguru)	3.0%	2.9%
12:30		3 points	CPI (YoY) (Chikunguru)	2.8%	2.7%
12:30		3 points	CPI (MoM) (Chikunguru)	0.2%	0.3%
16:00		2 points	EIA Yenguva Yenguva pfupi Energy Outlook	----	----
16:00		2 points	WASDE Report	----	----
18:00		2 points	Federal Budget Balance (Chikunguru)	----	27.0B
20:30		2 points	API Weekly Crude Oil Stock	----	-4.200M
22:45		2 points	Electronic Card Retail Sales (MoM) (Chikunguru)	----	0.5%

Pfupiso yeKuuya Economic Zviitiko pa August 12, 2025

Asia-Pacific - Australia

NAB Business Confidence (Chikunguru) – 01:30 UTC

• Prev: 5
• Impact: Kuvandudza kwakasimba mumanzwiro ebhizinesi kwaizotsigira AUD uye kunogona kuratidza kusimba kwehupfumi.

RBA Chibereko Chisarudzo (Aug) - 04:30 UTC

• Forecast: 3.60% (Prev. 3.85%)
• Impact: Kuchekwa kwemareti kwaizoratidza shanduko yakanangana nekurerutsira kwemari, pamwe ichideredza AUD uye kutsigira misika yemasheya inotarisisa kuderedzwa kwemitengo yekukwereta.

RBA Monetary Policy Statement & Rate Statement – 04:30 UTC

• Impact: Toni ichaumba AUD trajectory; mutauro we dovish unosimbisa kusarurana, nepo kungwarira kutarisira kunogona kudzikamisa mari.

Europe - Eurozone

ZEW Economic Sentiment (Aug) – 09:00 UTC

• Forecast: 28.1 (Prev. 36.1)
• Impact: Kuderera mumanzwiro kunogona kuremedza EUR uye zvinhu zvine njodzi, zvichiratidza kuderera kwehupfumi mudunhu.

United States - Inflation & Energy

OPEC Monthly Report - 11:00 UTC

• Impact: Kuvandudzwa kwekufanotaura kwekupa kunogona kukanganisa mitengo yemafuta uye magetsi-akabatanidzwa equities.

CPI & Core CPI (Jul) – 12:30 UTC

• Core CPI MoM: 0.3% (Prev. 0.2%)
• Core CPI YoY: 3.0% (Prev. 2.9%)
• CPI YoY: 2.8% (Prev. 2.7%)
• CPI MoM: 0.2% (Prev. 0.3%)
• Impact: Kuverenga kwepamusoro-kupfuura-kunotarisirwa kwaizomanikidza iyo Fed kuti ichengetedze mitengo yakakwira kwenguva yakareba, ichitsigira USD asi ichiyera paequities nemabhondi.

EIA Yenguva Yenguva Yesimba Maonero - 16:00 UTC

• Impact: Musika-unonzwa mafuta uye gasi kupa-inoda fungidziro.

WASDE Report - 16:00 UTC

• Impact: Agricultural market volatility; zvakakosha kuzvinhu zvakaita sechibage, gorosi, nesoya beans.

Federal Budget Balance (Chikunguru) - 18:00 UTC

• Prev: $27.0B yakasara
• Impact: Inogona kupesvedzera zvinotarisirwa kupihwa neTreasury uye goho remusika wemabhondi.

API Weekly Crude Oil Stock - 20:30 UTC

• Prev: -4.200M
• Impact: Imwe dhirowa inotsigira mitengo yemafuta uye tarisiro yekukwira kwemitengo.

Nyuzirendi

Electronic Card Retail Sales (Jul) – 22:45 UTC

• Prev: 0.5%
• Impact: Chiyero chekushandiswa kwevatengi; kukura kwepamusoro kunotsigira NZD.

Market Impact Analysis

• Key Driver: Kuburitswa kweUS CPI kuchatonga zuva - fungidziro yakakwira zvishoma inoratidza mukana wepamusoro wengozi yekuverengera inflation, izvo zvinogona kushandura Fed-cut-cut tarisiro.
• Secondary Drivers RBA's chiyero sarudzo uye toni inotungamira AUD; Mishumo yemusika wemafuta (OPEC, EIA, API) inogona kufambisa mutengo wekutengesa.
• Risk Sentiment: Kudonha kweEurozone manzwiro kunowedzera kusarerekera zvinyoro kune EUR.

Ose Impact Score: 9/10

• Simba rakasimba kubva kuUS inflation data pamisika yepasi rose.
• Kuburitswa kwemusika wemagetsi uye sarudzo yeRBA inowedzera muchinjika-asset kusimba kugona.